Conf =  Monroe-2                  Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Barons               Coach  =   Cory Holbrough        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2332306    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-13, 76.6)    10- 8   
 412 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (15- 6, 87.5)    14-13   
 415 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 71.6)    17- 5   
 416 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 74.3)    19- 5   
 419 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 68.4)    17-14   
 426 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 83.3)    10-13   
 428 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 81.5)     7-10   
 430 H Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 77.1)    16-17  o
 503 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-13, 76.6)    15-12   
 505 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 78.9)    10- 7   
 507 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 78.0)     7-13   
 510 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 93.5)     7-14   
 512 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.0)    13-16   
 514 H Greece Arcadia/Olympia NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 71.6)     9- 6   
 517 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 85.6)     7-15   
 519 A Victor                 NY A  Sec 5   (22- 0, 99.9)     6-25   
 523 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 66.2)    16- 8   
 525 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (17- 1, 85.9)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Hilton                 10- 8       2     3          -1.13
   412 H Webster Thomas         14-13       1    -7    +++    8.75
   415 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia 17- 5      12     6    +      3.54
   416 A Gates-Chili            19- 5      14     3    +++    6.25
   419 H Rush-Henrietta         17-14       3    11    ---   -7.00
   426 A Canandaigua            10-13      -3    -5    +      2.22
   428 H Irondequoit             7-10      -3    -1          -1.21
   430 H Spencerport            16-17  o   -1     2    -     -3.62
   503 A Hilton                 15-12       3     1           1.53
   505 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     10- 7       3     0    +      2.12
   507 A Webster Schroeder       7-13      -6     0    ---   -6.10
   510 A Pittsford               7-14      -7   -15    +      3.00
   512 H Penfield               13-16      -3    -7    ++     4.28
   514 H Greece Arcadia/Olympia  9- 6       3     8    --    -5.12
   517 A Fairport                7-15      -8    -7          -0.48
   519 A Victor                  6-25     -19   -21           0.00
   523 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  16- 8       8    13    -     -2.00
   525 A Churchville-Chili      12-13      -1    -7    +++    6.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Rush-Henrietta         17-14       3    11    ---   -7.00
   507 A Webster Schroeder       7-13      -6     0    ---   -6.10
   514 H Greece Arcadia/Olympia  9- 6       3     8    --    -5.12
   430 H Spencerport            16-17  o   -1     2    -     -3.62
   523 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  16- 8       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Webster Thomas         14-13       1    -7    +++    8.75
   416 A Gates-Chili            19- 5      14     3    +++    6.25
   525 A Churchville-Chili      12-13      -1    -7    +++    6.76
   512 H Penfield               13-16      -3    -7    ++     4.28
   415 A Greece Arcadia/Olympia 17- 5      12     6    +      3.54
   426 A Canandaigua            10-13      -3    -5    +      2.22
   505 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     10- 7       3     0    +      2.12
   510 A Pittsford               7-14      -7   -15    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.93 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.83 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/