Conf =  Dist-I                    Region = PA    PAC-10           
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Terrance Hales        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0654068    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC-10  (12- 7, 88.7)     5- 6  o
 401 A Pottsgrove             PA    PAC-10  ( 6-13, 73.3)    14- 5   
 406 H Phoenixville           PA    PAC-10  ( 2-16, 69.1)    17- 3   
 408 H Pope John Paul II      PA    PAC-10  ( 2-16, 70.8)    13-11   
 413 H Methacton              PA    PAC-10  ( 8-10, 80.6)    14-10   
 415 A Spring-Ford            PA    PAC-10  (21- 3, 97.1)     4-16   
 416 H Great Valley           PA    ChesMon (10- 9, 87.9)    11-12   
 418 H Owen J Roberts         PA    PAC-10  (13- 7, 88.5)     8-11   
 420 H Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC-10  (12- 7, 88.7)     5-12   
 422 H Pottsgrove             PA    PAC-10  ( 6-13, 73.3)    14- 6   
 423 A North Penn             PA    SubCont (16- 4, 91.3)     9-15   
 425 A Phoenixville           PA    PAC-10  ( 2-16, 69.1)    17- 7   
 427 A Pope John Paul II      PA    PAC-10  ( 2-16, 70.8)    14- 3   
 428 A Methacton              PA    PAC-10  ( 8-10, 80.6)    15-13   
 429 A Downingtown East       PA    ChesMon (10- 9, 88.5)     6-15   
 503 H Spring-Ford            PA    PAC-10  (21- 3, 97.1)     5-18   
 505 A Owen J Roberts         PA    PAC-10  (13- 7, 88.5)    12-13  o
 510 N Spring-Ford            PA    PAC-10  (21- 3, 97.1)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Perkiomen Valley        5- 6  o   -1    -7    +++    6.04
   401 A Pottsgrove             14- 5       9     8           0.66
   406 H Phoenixville           17- 3      14    14           0.00
   408 H Pope John Paul II      13-11       2    12    ---   -8.00
   413 H Methacton              14-10       4     2           1.46
   415 A Spring-Ford             4-16     -12   -15           0.00
   416 H Great Valley           11-12      -1    -4    +      3.68
   418 H Owen J Roberts          8-11      -3    -5    +      2.35
   420 H Perkiomen Valley        5-12      -7    -5          -1.47
   422 H Pottsgrove             14- 6       8     9          -1.85
   423 A North Penn              9-15      -6    -9    +      3.60
   425 A Phoenixville           17- 7      10    12           0.00
   427 A Pope John Paul II      14- 3      11    10           0.00
   428 A Methacton              15-13       2     1           0.97
   429 A Downingtown East        6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.21
   503 H Spring-Ford             5-18     -13   -13           0.00
   505 A Owen J Roberts         12-13  o   -1    -6    ++     5.86
   510 N Spring-Ford             5-18     -13   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Pope John Paul II      13-11       2    12    ---   -8.00
   429 A Downingtown East        6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Perkiomen Valley        5- 6  o   -1    -7    +++    6.04
   505 A Owen J Roberts         12-13  o   -1    -6    ++     5.86
   416 H Great Valley           11-12      -1    -4    +      3.68
   418 H Owen J Roberts          8-11      -3    -5    +      2.35
   423 A North Penn              9-15      -6    -9    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.42 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.12 Local SOS Rank.............    37
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.0
/