Region = VA 1  VIC              
   Nickname = A Barons               Coach  =   John Hetzel           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6886292    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 A Benedictine            VA 1  Indep   ( 8- 9, 85.3)    15- 2   
 312 H Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (12- 9, 81.8)    11- 8   
 315 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 81.9)     5-12   
 319 H John Paul the Great    VA 1  Indep   ( 5-11, 84.9)    12-13   
 322 A Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     ( 8-11, 90.3)     7-11   
 324 A North Cross            VA 2  VIC     (15- 4, 99.6)     9- 6   
 329 H Christchurch           VA 2  Indep   ( 4-15, 82.6)    15- 9   
 402 A Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (13- 5, 97.3)    13-17   
 405 H Fork Union Mil Academy VA 1  Indep   ( 8- 5, 83.6)    16- 4   
 408 A Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (16- 6, 99.3)     7-14   
 412 A Roanoke Catholic       VA 2  VIC     (10- 6, 96.8)    10-13   
 420 H Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr (10- 9, 91.4)     9- 7   
 426 H Virginia Episcopal     VA 2  VIC     (16- 5, 99.9)     9-10  o
 429 A Trinity Episcopal      VA 1  Indep   ( 3-12, 79.3)     9- 3   
 503 A Hargrave Military Acad VA 2  VIC     ( 5- 7, 83.5)    11- 1   
 513 H Liberty Christian      VA 4A Nationl ( 3-11, 69.2)    19- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Benedictine            15- 2      13     6    +      3.07
   312 H Flint Hill             11- 8       3    11          n/a  
   315 A Bishop O'Connell        5-12      -7    10          n/a  
   319 H John Paul the Great    12-13      -1     8    ---   -9.43
   322 A Woodberry Forest        7-11      -4     1    --    -5.90
   324 A North Cross             9- 6       3    -7          n/a  
   329 H Christchurch           15- 9       6    11          n/a  
   402 A Covenant               13-17      -4    -5          n/a  
   405 H Fork Union Mil Academy 16- 4      12     9           0.33
   408 A Collegiate School       7-14      -7    -7           0.10
   412 A Roanoke Catholic       10-13      -3    -5          n/a  
   420 H Bishop Sullivan         9- 7       2     1           0.10
   426 H Virginia Episcopal      9-10  o   -1    -6          n/a  
   429 A Trinity Episcopal       9- 3       6    12    --    -4.00
   503 A Hargrave Military Acad 11- 1      10     8          n/a  
   513 H Liberty Christian      19- 4      15    24          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Flint Hill             11- 8       3    11    ---        
   315 A Bishop O'Connell        5-12      -7    10    ---        
   319 H John Paul the Great    12-13      -1     8    ---   -9.43
   322 A Woodberry Forest        7-11      -4     1    --    -5.90
   329 H Christchurch           15- 9       6    11    --         
   429 A Trinity Episcopal       9- 3       6    12    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A North Cross             9- 6       3    -7    +++        
   426 H Virginia Episcopal      9-10  o   -1    -6    ++         
   311 A Benedictine            15- 2      13     6    +      3.07
   412 A Roanoke Catholic       10-13      -3    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.76 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.76 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.3
/