Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mark Ward             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0422363    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 86.6)     6-11   
 329 H Elmira                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-10, 85.6)     8- 4   
 401 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (10- 7, 96.3)     5-13   
 405 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-16, 78.1)    13- 2   
 407 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (10- 7, 96.5)     8- 9   
 409 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 74.8)    18- 3   
 414 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (15- 4, 99.9)     6-13   
 416 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 85.9)     6-13   
 418 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   (11- 7, 95.3)     8-20   
 420 A Elmira                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 4-10, 85.6)     9-10   
 425 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (10- 7, 96.5)     6-12   
 427 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (10- 7, 96.3)     7-14   
 502 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (15- 4, 99.9)     4-12   
 504 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   (11- 7, 95.3)     9-14   
 507 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 0-16, 78.1)    11- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Cicero-North Syracuse   6-11      -5     2          n/a  
   329 H Elmira                  8- 4       4     2           1.11
   401 A Ithaca                  5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   405 H Union-Endicott         13- 2      11    10           0.00
   407 A Vestal                  8- 9      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   409 H Seton Catholic Central 18- 3      15    13           0.00
   414 H Corning                 6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00
   416 A Corcoran                6-13      -7     0          n/a  
   418 H Horseheads              8-20     -12    -6    -     -3.21
   420 A Elmira                  9-10      -1     0          -1.35
   425 H Vestal                  6-12      -6    -8    +      2.04
   427 H Ithaca                  7-14      -7    -7           0.81
   502 A Corning                 4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00
   504 A Horseheads              9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.33
   507 A Union-Endicott         11- 7       4     7    -     -3.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Cicero-North Syracuse   6-11      -5     2    ---        
   416 A Corcoran                6-13      -7     0    ---        
   418 H Horseheads              8-20     -12    -6    -     -3.21
   507 A Union-Endicott         11- 7       4     7    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Vestal                  8- 9      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   504 A Horseheads              9-14      -5    -9    ++     4.33
   401 A Ithaca                  5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   414 H Corning                 6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00
   425 H Vestal                  6-12      -6    -8    +      2.04
   502 A Corning                 4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.23 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.13 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/