Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-03          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Jeff Salvado          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8269882    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (17- 2, 99.9)     9-16   
 304 A Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 1-14, 72.9)    12- 3   
 305 H Plano East             TX 2  NoEast  (11- 7, 90.4)    12- 8   
 308 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 95.9)     6-11   
 311 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 5-11, 77.4)    15- 8   
 315 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 4, 96.7)    12-14   
 322 A Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 4-12, 74.1)    18- 5   
 324 H Green Hope             NC    Conf-03 (13- 5, 95.7)    10-15   
 405 A Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (17- 2, 98.8)     4-13   
 408 H Pinecrest              NC    Conf-03 ( 5-10, 78.9)    16- 4   
 413 H Wakefield              NC    Conf-04 (12- 6, 91.4)     6-11   
 415 H Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 1-14, 72.9)    17- 1   
 419 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 95.9)     5-12   
 426 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 4, 96.7)     7-15   
 427 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 5-11, 77.4)    14- 4   
 429 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 6-11, 81.9)    12- 7   
 504 H W.G. Enloe             NC    Conf-04 ( 9- 9, 83.9)    12- 9   
 506 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (18- 3, 95.6)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Ravenscroft School      9-16      -7   -12          n/a  
   304 A Friendship             12- 3       9    14          -1.00
   305 H Plano East             12- 8       4    -1          n/a  
   308 H Holly Springs           6-11      -5    -6           1.84
   311 A Cary HS                15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   315 H Middle Creek           12-14      -2    -7    ++     5.59
   322 A Fuquay-Varina          18- 5      13    13           0.00
   324 H Green Hope             10-15      -5    -6           1.66
   405 A Apex                    4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   408 H Pinecrest              16- 4      12    10           0.00
   413 H Wakefield               6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.69
   415 H Friendship             17- 1      16    16           0.00
   419 A Holly Springs           5-12      -7    -8           1.33
   426 A Middle Creek            7-15      -8    -9           1.08
   427 H Cary HS                14- 4      10    11           0.00
   429 A Panther Creek          12- 7       5     5          -0.64
   504 H W.G. Enloe             12- 9       3     5    -     -2.16
   506 A Wilmington Hoggard      7-14      -7    -7           0.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Cary HS                15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   413 H Wakefield               6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.69
   504 H W.G. Enloe             12- 9       3     5    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Plano East             12- 8       4    -1    ++         
   315 H Middle Creek           12-14      -2    -7    ++     5.59
   301 A Ravenscroft School      9-16      -7   -12    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.32 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.38 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/