Conf =  Sec3                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Lightning            Coach  =   Tim Roche             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.4329834    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 419 A Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 7, 88.2)    10-12   
 421 A Shakopee               MN 1  SoSub   ( 4-10, 81.9)     8- 6   
 426 H Farmington             MN 1  SoSub   ( 8- 8, 85.4)    10- 4   
 430 A Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  MetWest (13- 2, 98.2)     9- 6   
 503 H Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (15- 4, 99.9)    11- 9   
 505 H Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 8, 84.8)     9- 1   
 510 H Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (12- 3, 95.8)     6- 9   
 512 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (16- 3, 97.2)     8- 4   
 514 A Minnetonka             MN 1  Lake    (10- 7, 91.6)     5- 7   
 517 A Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-12, 78.0)    10- 8   
 520 A Academy Holy Angels    MN 1  Indep   ( 6- 8, 86.5)    11- 8   
 523 A Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (11- 8, 91.8)    10- 6   
 603 H Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 8, 84.8)    10- 4   
 607 N Edina                  MN 1  Lake    (14- 2, 96.8)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Lakeville South        10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.12
   421 A Shakopee                8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   426 H Farmington             10- 4       6     9    -     -3.68
   430 A Bloom Jefferson         9- 6       3    -5    +++    8.81
   503 H Prior Lake             11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.79
   505 H Apple Valley            9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00
   510 H Rosemount               6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.32
   512 H Lakeville North         8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.14
   514 A Minnetonka              5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.72
   517 A Burnsville             10- 8       2    14    ---   -8.00
   520 A Academy Holy Angels    11- 8       3     5    -     -2.84
   523 A Eagan                  10- 6       4     0    +      3.40
   603 H Apple Valley           10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   607 N Edina                   6- 8      -2    -3           1.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Lakeville South        10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.12
   421 A Shakopee                8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   517 A Burnsville             10- 8       2    14    ---   -8.00
   603 H Apple Valley           10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   426 H Farmington             10- 4       6     9    -     -3.68
   505 H Apple Valley            9- 1       8    10    -     -2.00
   510 H Rosemount               6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.32
   514 A Minnetonka              5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.72
   520 A Academy Holy Angels    11- 8       3     5    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Bloom Jefferson         9- 6       3    -5    +++    8.81
   503 H Prior Lake             11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.79
   512 H Lakeville North         8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.14
   523 A Eagan                  10- 6       4     0    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.73 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.76 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/