Conf =  Dual County               Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Pat Ammendolia        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.4306946    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Reading                MA 1  North   (19- 2, 92.4)     8-16   
 409 A Glastonbury            CT L          (15- 4, 88.0)    11-12  o
 413 H Concord Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (18- 3, 90.6)     8-13   
 414 H Waltham                MA 1  North   (11-10, 78.6)    15- 4   
 416 H Needham                MA 1  South   (11- 8, 86.9)    11- 9   
 419 A Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 84.4)     7- 8  o
 421 H Brookline              MA 1  South   (14- 5, 84.4)    13- 6   
 423 H Melrose                MA 2  North   (13- 7, 83.9)    13- 9   
 424 H Falmouth               ME    South-B (12- 4, 99.9)    15- 7   
 428 A Framingham             MA 1  South   (10-10, 77.6)    13- 9   
 430 H Souhegan               NH 1          (13- 7, 88.9)    10-11  o
 503 A Andover HS             MA 1  North   (13- 6, 85.4)     8- 9   
 506 A Concord Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (18- 3, 90.6)     5-12   
 507 A Weston                 MA 3  CenEast (17- 4, 86.4)    10-13   
 510 H Westford Academy       MA 1  North   (10-10, 83.1)    10- 5   
 514 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (19- 2, 99.9)     8-15   
 519 H Wayland                MA 2  CenEast ( 9- 8, 82.1)    10- 5   
 521 H Burlington             MA 2  North   ( 9- 9, 78.2)    15-10   
 523 H Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (16- 6, 89.4)    10- 9 3o
 601 H Medford                MA 1  North   ( 7-14, 64.0)    15- 1   
 604 A Andover HS             MA 1  North   (13- 6, 85.4)    13- 7   
 608 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (19- 2, 99.9)     2-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Reading                 8-16      -8    -7          -0.69
   409 A Glastonbury            11-12  o   -1    -2          n/a  
   413 H Concord Carlisle        8-13      -5    -3          -1.22
   414 H Waltham                15- 4      11     8           1.75
   416 H Needham                11- 9       2     0    +      2.08
   419 A Algonquin               7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.66
   421 H Brookline              13- 6       7     2    ++     4.55
   423 H Melrose                13- 9       4     2           1.04
   424 H Falmouth               15- 7       8   -13          n/a  
   428 A Framingham             13- 9       4     7    -     -3.51
   430 H Souhegan               10-11  o   -1    -2          n/a  
   503 A Andover HS              8- 9      -1     0          -0.70
   506 A Concord Carlisle        5-12      -7    -5          -1.48
   507 A Weston                 10-13      -3    -1          -1.73
   510 H Westford Academy       10- 5       5     3           1.31
   514 A Lincoln-Sudbury         8-15      -7   -14    +      3.00
   519 H Wayland                10- 5       5     4           0.29
   521 H Burlington             15-10       5     8    -     -3.65
   523 H Catholic Memorial      10- 9 3o    1    -2    +      3.56
   601 H Medford                15- 1      14    22           0.00
   604 A Andover HS             13- 7       6     0    +++    6.30
   608 A Lincoln-Sudbury         2-14     -12   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Framingham             13- 9       4     7    -     -3.51
   521 H Burlington             15-10       5     8    -     -3.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Falmouth               15- 7       8   -13    +++        
   604 A Andover HS             13- 7       6     0    +++    6.30
   421 H Brookline              13- 6       7     2    ++     4.55
   416 H Needham                11- 9       2     0    +      2.08
   514 A Lincoln-Sudbury         8-15      -7   -14    +      3.00
   523 H Catholic Memorial      10- 9 3o    1    -2    +      3.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.97 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.42 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    49
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/