boys probababilites for 32
 
 

2014 boys Maryland MPSSAA 4321

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 South River 17 2 2 3 1 1 5 2 8 27.00 2 Wootton 17 1 5 32 7 2 2 6 10 2.00 3 Westminster 15 1 3 10 6 7 6 3 16 14.00 4 Arundel 14 3 6 5 3 12 3 7 22 2.00 5 Howard 18 1 4 19 4 8 11 5 24 9.00 6 Churchill 13 4 13 25 12 9 7 10 26 0.10 7 Urbana 14 5 14 24 21 15 4 16 35 0.10 8 Broadneck 11 5 7 1 9 10 8 21 39 1.00 9 Dulaney 14 4 9 4 8 4 26 9 39 1.00 10 Northern/Calv Ct 15 2 12 82 11 16 12 11 39 0.10 11 Stephen Decatur 12 5 18 35 17 23 1 17 41 0.10 12 North Carroll 16 3 16 38 16 13 15 14 42 0.10 13 Kent Island 19 1 1 11 2 3 41 1 45 36.00 14 Glenelg HS 13 5 15 17 26 17 9 22 48 2.00 15 Liberty 13 3 20 45 18 19 16 15 50 0.10 16 Middletown 13 3 19 46 13 18 25 13 56 0.10 17 Chesapeake-AA 11 5 23 16 15 28 14 19 61 0.10 18 Fallston 15 4 10 8 14 6 48 12 66 0.10 19 Franklin 11 5 21 51 32 20 23 25 68 0.10 20 Walter Johnson 13 4 27 65 24 14 36 18 68 0.10 21 Bel Air 14 3 11 33 10 11 55 8 74 3.00 22 Leonardtown 13 4 42 77 19 31 20 23 74 0.10 23 Quince Orchard 11 4 28 69 22 24 32 20 76 0.10 24 South Carroll 7 7 30 6 58 26 10 50 86 0.10 25 Loch Raven 9 8 64 56 64 21 13 56 90 0.10 26 Queen Annes Coun 11 6 25 31 30 29 29 32 90 0.10 27 Hereford 17 4 8 12 5 5 87 4 96 2.00 28 Towson 8 8 35 18 40 25 38 33 96 0.10 29 Centennial 10 5 24 15 27 33 31 34 98 0.10 30 Annapolis 10 5 17 20 20 35 37 29 101 0.10 31 Huntingtown 13 3 26 100 23 34 52 26 112 0.10 32 Severna Park 6 9 22 2 33 22 49 43 114 1.00 33 Damascus 12 6 47 67 43 38 44 35 117 0.10 34 North East Cecil 11 5 33 66 37 40 45 37 122 0.10 35 Sherwood 9 9 49 55 67 39 24 59 122 0.10 36 Winters Mill 8 8 45 7 81 37 21 72 130 0.10 37 North Harford 9 9 48 27 78 30 19 82 131 0.10 38 La Plata 11 6 55 92 50 49 33 54 136 0.10 39 CM Wright 6 9 43 13 87 42 22 73 137 0.10 40 Patterson Mill 8 8 38 9 51 32 56 53 141 0.10 41 Catonsville 7 10 50 30 82 43 42 62 147 0.10 42 Havre De Grace 10 6 36 26 34 27 85 36 148 0.10 43 Marriotts Ridge 9 7 32 22 56 45 35 69 149 0.10 44 Southern AA 9 9 40 41 59 47 17 87 151 0.10 45 Whitman 10 6 44 64 35 36 88 30 154 0.10 46 Easton 7 7 34 14 41 50 65 42 157 0.10 47 Poolesville 10 4 46 96 39 46 74 38 158 0.10 48 Linganore 7 6 39 44 45 53 59 47 159 0.10 49 Eastern Tech 8 7 74 86 76 44 43 75 162 0.10 50 River Hill 9 8 31 36 80 51 28 84 163 0.10 51 Reservoir 9 7 37 43 52 57 50 57 164 0.10 52 Owings Mills 9 3 63 117 29 48 90 28 166 0.10 53 Mount Hebron 8 7 29 29 73 52 46 71 169 0.10 54 Bethesda/Chevy C 4 10 81 48 118 56 18 98 172 0.10 55 Blair 9 8 78 90 90 63 27 85 175 0.10 56 Springbrook 10 5 72 107 42 65 71 41 177 0.10 57 Kenwood 9 3 70 113 28 41 117 27 185 0.10 58 Pikesville 11 5 66 125 46 64 83 44 191 0.10 59 Old Mill 8 10 54 28 83 69 30 94 193 0.10 60 Patuxent 8 6 76 99 57 66 62 66 194 0.10 61 Sparrows Point 7 4 99 124 47 55 98 45 198 0.10 62 Calvert 9 5 73 106 48 68 80 52 200 0.10 63 Rising Sun 8 7 59 63 75 60 60 80 200 0.10 64 City-Baltimore 10 6 83 122 63 62 76 63 201 0.10 65 JM Bennett 6 7 61 49 61 77 57 67 201 0.10 66 Carver VoTech 9 2 100 148 25 54 125 24 203 0.10 67 Walkersville 7 8 69 61 91 73 40 90 203 0.10 68 Brunswick 10 7 71 84 86 78 67 61 206 0.10 69 Cambridge SD 7 7 52 37 44 61 100 46 207 0.10 70 Rockville 9 5 62 114 53 76 86 49 211 0.10 71 NorthEast AA 7 9 56 23 74 72 51 93 216 0.10 72 Poly-Baltimore 12 4 65 126 38 59 118 40 217 0.10 73 Century 7 8 53 54 93 75 54 89 218 0.10 74 Perry Hall 3 10 93 39 108 79 34 105 218 0.10 75 Richard Montgome 7 7 91 88 84 70 75 79 224 0.10 76 Blake 8 5 77 110 55 80 96 51 227 0.10 77 Smithsburg 10 3 41 85 31 58 139 31 228 0.10 78 Atholton 7 9 51 40 96 74 53 103 230 0.10 79 Harford Tech 7 6 57 75 71 71 84 77 232 0.10 80 Dunbar 6 3 113 147 36 67 129 39 235 0.10 81 Oakdale 6 9 60 57 107 84 58 97 239 0.10 82 Clarksburg 5 8 104 83 95 85 69 92 246 0.10 83 Frederick 8 7 67 73 77 81 89 76 246 0.10 84 Manchester Valle 6 9 58 58 106 88 61 101 250 0.10 85 Oakland Mills 5 11 80 52 127 92 39 127 258 0.10 86 BDJ/Civitas 5 5 122 127 62 83 119 60 262 0.10 87 North Point 5 8 103 94 101 90 68 104 262 0.10 88 Dundalk 7 6 110 119 70 82 108 74 264 0.10 89 Chopticon 6 8 92 103 97 95 73 99 267 0.10 90 Douglass 6 5 126 145 60 87 123 58 268 0.10 91 New Town 6 4 90 128 49 86 137 48 271 0.10 92 Tuscarora 2 12 85 21 131 94 47 131 272 0.10 93 NorthWestern 5 5 128 135 65 91 127 64 282 0.10 94 Patapsco 7 6 111 131 79 89 110 83 282 0.10 95 Aberdeen 6 7 75 81 92 93 99 91 283 0.10 96 Parkside 4 9 94 50 103 101 70 112 283 0.10 97 NorthWest 4 10 108 89 126 99 66 122 287 0.10 98 Francis Scott Ke 2 11 105 60 123 107 64 121 292 0.10 99 Lansdowne 7 7 117 132 88 100 111 86 297 0.10 100 Merganthaler-Mer 4 5 127 139 69 97 132 70 299 0.10 101 Thomas Stone 6 9 106 109 113 104 81 114 299 0.10 102 Wilde Lake 6 10 68 59 115 102 79 118 299 0.10 103 Overlea 5 5 121 134 66 98 138 65 301 0.10 104 Long Reach 4 11 89 53 128 105 72 130 307 0.10 105 SouthWestern 4 4 135 140 54 108 144 55 307 0.10 106 Edmondson 4 8 136 142 111 103 97 110 310 0.10 107 Lackey 3 10 124 97 125 112 78 128 318 0.10 108 Northwood 6 7 101 120 89 109 122 88 319 0.10 109 Parkville 4 9 116 123 119 106 95 119 320 0.10 110 North Caroline 4 10 84 47 99 96 124 102 322 0.10 111 Joppatowne 4 6 87 91 68 111 148 68 327 0.10 112 Paint Branch 6 9 109 116 114 110 102 115 327 0.10 113 Edgewood 4 10 98 80 121 114 91 123 328 0.10 114 Perryville 4 8 79 78 112 113 107 111 331 0.10 115 South Hagerstown 6 7 88 102 85 115 136 81 332 0.10 116 North Hagerstown 2 12 115 72 141 123 77 135 335 0.10 117 Watkins Mill 5 9 118 112 117 117 105 117 339 0.10 118 Hammond 0 15 112 34 149 131 63 149 343 0.10 119 North County 5 9 82 71 102 116 114 113 343 0.10 120 Randallstown 4 9 130 130 120 118 106 120 344 0.10 121 Einstein 2 10 125 104 130 127 94 126 347 0.10 122 Great Mills 0 10 139 76 133 120 93 134 347 0.10 123 Carver A&T 4 8 129 136 110 119 121 109 349 0.10 124 Kent County 2 10 97 62 122 121 104 124 349 0.10 125 Lake Clifton 3 5 141 141 72 126 145 78 349 0.10 126 MJ McDonough 1 12 138 95 142 129 82 143 354 0.10 127 Digital Harbor 3 7 140 143 98 122 140 96 358 0.10 128 Magruder 5 8 102 121 105 125 126 108 359 0.10 129 Catoctin 4 11 96 79 132 124 103 133 360 0.10 130 Westlake 0 11 146 87 136 132 92 138 362 0.10 131 Natl Academy Fou 0 8 145 137 116 134 116 116 366 0.10 132 Woodlawn 2 8 137 118 109 130 134 106 370 0.10 133 Elkton 6 8 86 101 104 128 142 107 377 0.10 134 Forest Park 2 7 142 144 100 136 143 100 379 0.10 135 Chesapeake-BC 3 10 134 138 129 135 120 129 384 0.10 136 Gov. Thomas John 1 13 114 74 147 137 101 147 385 0.10 137 Seneca Valley 1 11 132 105 137 138 115 136 389 0.10 138 New Era Academy 0 6 95 146 94 148 147 95 390 0.10 139 Kennedy 0 12 149 108 145 141 112 142 395 0.10 140 Gaithersburg 2 13 133 115 148 139 113 146 398 0.10 141 Glen Burnie 1 13 120 68 143 142 109 148 399 0.10 142 Meade 2 13 107 42 135 133 130 140 403 0.10 143 Patterson 1 9 147 149 124 140 141 125 406 0.10 144 Western STES 1 11 143 133 138 144 133 137 414 0.10 145 Wheaton 0 11 148 111 140 145 128 141 414 0.10 146 Wicomico 0 13 131 70 144 143 131 145 419 0.10 147 Boonsboro 1 12 119 93 134 146 146 132 424 0.10 148 Milford Mill 0 12 144 129 146 147 135 144 426 0.10 149 Bohemia Manor 1 12 123 98 139 149 149 139 437 0.10
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