Region = VA 6A Liberty          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0261459    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Oakton                 VA 6A Concord ( 5-12, 85.3)    16- 5   
 324 H Edison                 VA 5A Capitol (14- 4, 91.4)    13- 7   
 327 H Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 4- 7, 79.9)    16- 1   
 402 H Centreville            VA 6A Concord ( 6- 9, 86.9)    11- 2   
 403 A Falls Church           VA 5A Capitol ( 6- 9, 80.8)    17- 2   
 408 H McLean                 VA 6A Liberty (10- 4, 95.6)     3- 4  o
 409 A Mount Vernon           VA 5A Capitol ( 7- 5, 87.5)    15- 3   
 412 A Robinson               VA 6A Concord (18- 3, 99.9)     3- 9   
 422 N Osbourn Park           VA 6A Grp-3   (12- 5, 92.9)    10- 7   
 423 N Chantilly              VA 6A Concord (15- 3, 95.7)     6- 8   
 425 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA 5A Capitol ( 2-10, 73.7)    15- 3   
 429 A Washington-Lee         VA 6A Liberty ( 7- 8, 84.0)    17- 7   
 502 A Wakefield HS           VA 5A Capitol ( 1-12, 67.1)    18- 1   
 506 H Madison                VA 6A Liberty ( 5-10, 86.2)     8- 4   
 515 H Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 4- 7, 79.9)    12- 3   
 521 H McLean                 VA 6A Liberty (10- 4, 95.6)     7- 6   
 523 A Langley                VA 6A Liberty (15- 7, 93.8)     9-10   
 528 H Oakton                 VA 6A Concord ( 5-12, 85.3)    12- 5   
 529 N South County           VA 6A Patriot (15- 2, 98.9)    13- 6   
 604 A Robinson               VA 6A Concord (18- 3, 99.9)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Oakton                 16- 5      11     9           0.22
   324 H Edison                 13- 7       6     6          -0.53
   327 H Hayfield               16- 1      15    18           0.00
   402 H Centreville            11- 2       9    11          -1.00
   403 A Falls Church           17- 2      15    14           0.00
   408 H McLean                  3- 4  o   -1     2    -     -3.31
   409 A Mount Vernon           15- 3      12     7    +      2.46
   412 A Robinson                3- 9      -6    -4          -1.15
   422 N Osbourn Park           10- 7       3     3          n/a  
   423 N Chantilly               6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.74
   425 H J.E.B. Stuart          15- 3      12    24           0.00
   429 A Washington-Lee         17- 7      10    11           0.00
   502 A Wakefield HS           18- 1      17    27           0.00
   506 H Madison                 8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   515 H Hayfield               12- 3       9    18          -1.00
   521 H McLean                  7- 6       1     2          -1.31
   523 A Langley                 9-10      -1     1    -     -2.21
   528 H Oakton                 12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   529 N South County           13- 6       7    -2    +++    9.40
   604 A Robinson                8-10      -2    -4    +      2.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Madison                 8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   408 H McLean                  3- 4  o   -1     2    -     -3.31
   423 N Chantilly               6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.74
   523 A Langley                 9-10      -1     1    -     -2.21
   528 H Oakton                 12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 N South County           13- 6       7    -2    +++    9.40
   409 A Mount Vernon           15- 3      12     7    +      2.46
   604 A Robinson                8-10      -2    -4    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.49 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.98 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   16.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/