Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1616058    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Simsbury               CT L          (18- 2, 90.4)     6- 8   
 411 H Mercer Island          WA 1  KingCo  (19- 3, 95.3)     5-13   
 417 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          (11- 7, 80.1)     3- 2   
 419 A Branford               CT M          ( 6-10, 71.8)    13- 3   
 422 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11- 9, 81.6)    13- 7   
 424 A Shelton                CT L          ( 9- 8, 76.4)    10- 8   
 429 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 6-11, 76.9)     9- 4   
 501 A Southington            CT L          (11- 8, 81.5)     8- 7   
 503 H Newtown                CT L          (14- 5, 85.9)     6- 9   
 507 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 7-10, 75.2)     9-10   
 510 H Amity Regional         CT L          (15- 5, 84.3)     7- 8 2o
 512 A North Haven            CT M          (13- 5, 83.7)    12- 6   
 515 A Cheshire HS            CT L          ( 4-12, 77.3)    14-11   
 520 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (14- 6, 91.7)     5-11   
 522 A Guilford               CT M          (11- 9, 82.6)     8- 9  o
 528 A South Windsor          CT L          ( 7- 9, 73.0)    14- 3   
 530 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 7-10, 75.2)    17- 2   
 604 A Ridgefield             CT L          (16- 5, 94.6)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Simsbury                6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.06
   411 H Mercer Island           5-13      -8   -10          n/a  
   417 A Notre Dame-West Haven   3- 2       1     3    -     -2.21
   419 A Branford               13- 3      10    11           0.00
   422 A Daniel Hand-Madison    13- 7       6     1    ++     4.30
   424 A Shelton                10- 8       2     6    --    -4.86
   429 A Conard-West Hartford    9- 4       5     6          -1.36
   501 A Southington             8- 7       1     1          -0.83
   503 H Newtown                 6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.05
   507 A Hamden                  9-10      -1     8    ---   -9.10
   510 H Amity Regional          7- 8 2o   -1     0          -1.64
   512 A North Haven            12- 6       6     0    +++    6.44
   515 A Cheshire HS            14-11       3     5    -     -2.97
   520 A Fairfield Prep          5-11      -6    -8    +      2.41
   522 A Guilford                8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.68
   528 A South Windsor          14- 3      11    10           0.00
   530 H Hamden                 17- 2      15     9           0.21
   604 A Ridgefield              5- 8      -3   -11    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Hamden                  9-10      -1     8    ---   -9.10
   424 A Shelton                10- 8       2     6    --    -4.86
   417 A Notre Dame-West Haven   3- 2       1     3    -     -2.21
   503 H Newtown                 6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.05
   515 A Cheshire HS            14-11       3     5    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A North Haven            12- 6       6     0    +++    6.44
   604 A Ridgefield              5- 8      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   409 A Simsbury                6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.06
   422 A Daniel Hand-Madison    13- 7       6     1    ++     4.30
   411 H Mercer Island           5-13      -8   -10    +          
   520 A Fairfield Prep          5-11      -6    -8    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.14 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.89 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/