Region = MD 32 South-1          
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Dan Black             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3687668    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Gerstell Academy       MD B  MIAA-R  (10-11, 88.1)    11-10   
 403 A Manchester Valley      MD 21 West-1  ( 6- 9, 78.5)     7- 6   
 405 H Oakdale                MD 32 West-1  ( 6- 9, 78.2)    12- 5   
 409 A Century                MD 32 South-1 ( 7- 8, 79.8)     9- 8 2o
 411 A Urbana                 MD 32 West-1  (14- 5, 89.7)     3-18   
 414 A South Carroll          MD 21 West-1  ( 7- 7, 84.2)     7-13   
 419 A Fallston               MD 21 South-1 (15- 4, 91.7)     3-11   
 419 N Northern/Calv Cty      MD 32 East-2  (15- 2, 91.5)     6-16   
 421 H North Carroll          MD 21 West-1  (16- 3, 89.0)    10-13   
 423 H Liberty                MD 21 West-1  (13- 3, 88.7)     6- 9   
 425 H Westminster            MD 43 North-1 (15- 1, 97.7)     7-17   
 429 A Linganore              MD 43 North-1 ( 7- 6, 82.8)    10- 9   
 502 A Patterson Mill         MD 21 South-1 ( 8- 8, 82.8)     6- 5   
 505 H Francis Scott Key      MD 21 West-1  ( 2-11, 67.8)    16- 1   
 507 A Century                MD 32 South-1 ( 7- 8, 79.8)     8- 7   
 509 A Centennial             MD 32 South-1 (10- 5, 87.1)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Gerstell Academy       11-10       1    -5          n/a  
   403 A Manchester Valley       7- 6       1     2          -1.63
   405 H Oakdale                12- 5       7     4    +      2.50
   409 A Century                 9- 8 2o    1     1          -0.30
   411 A Urbana                  3-18     -15    -8          -1.43
   414 A South Carroll           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.90
   419 A Fallston                3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   419 N Northern/Calv Cty       6-16     -10    -9          -0.42
   421 H North Carroll          10-13      -3    -6    +      3.31
   423 H Liberty                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.98
   425 H Westminster             7-17     -10   -15           0.00
   429 A Linganore              10- 9       1    -1    +      2.67
   502 A Patterson Mill          6- 5       1    -1    +      2.74
   505 H Francis Scott Key      16- 1      15    14           0.00
   507 A Century                 8- 7       1     1          -0.30
   509 A Centennial              9-14      -5    -6           1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A South Carroll           7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Gerstell Academy       11-10       1    -5    +++        
   405 H Oakdale                12- 5       7     4    +      2.50
   419 A Fallston                3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   421 H North Carroll          10-13      -3    -6    +      3.31
   423 H Liberty                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.98
   429 A Linganore              10- 9       1    -1    +      2.67
   502 A Patterson Mill          6- 5       1    -1    +      2.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.90 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.11 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   148
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    81
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/