Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3052826    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  (11- 5, 90.4)     7- 9   
 327 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 74.8)    11- 4   
 328 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 83.4)     8- 6   
 401 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 91.5)     7-11   
 403 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.0)     4-11   
 409 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.0)    14- 8   
 411 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.9)    11- 1   
 414 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 89.1)    10-12   
 419 H New Fairfield          CT M          (10- 9, 82.2)     9- 6   
 422 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.9)     4- 8   
 425 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.5)     1-15   
 501 A Deer Park              NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 66.8)    14- 0   
 502 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 91.3)    13-14   
 506 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.0)     4-12   
 508 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.2)    15-14  o
 513 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 68.2)    17- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Harborfields            7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.14
   327 A Longwood               11- 4       7     8          -1.51
   328 H Patchogue-Medford       8- 6       2     1           0.22
   401 A Bay Shore               7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.22
   403 H Half Hollow Hills West  4-11      -7    -5          -1.22
   409 H Copiague               14- 8       6    14    --    -4.00
   411 H West Babylon           11- 1      10     6    +      3.73
   414 A Commack                10-12      -2    -5    +      3.79
   419 H New Fairfield           9- 6       3     2          n/a  
   422 A East Islip              4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.41
   425 H Walt Whitman            1-15     -14    -8          -1.73
   501 A Deer Park              14- 0      14    16           0.00
   502 H Northport              13-14      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   506 A Riverhead               4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.31
   508 H North Babylon          15-14  o    1     4    -     -3.06
   513 A Brentwood              17- 6      11    15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Copiague               14- 8       6    14    --    -4.00
   422 A East Islip              4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.41
   506 A Riverhead               4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.31
   508 H North Babylon          15-14  o    1     4    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Harborfields            7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.14
   401 A Bay Shore               7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.22
   502 H Northport              13-14      -1    -6    ++     5.05
   411 H West Babylon           11- 1      10     6    +      3.73
   414 A Commack                10-12      -2    -5    +      3.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.24 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.60 Local SOS Rank.............    40
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/