Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1430511    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (10- 9, 88.4)     6-15   
 325 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (11- 5, 95.5)     3-11   
 326 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 68.2)    18- 3   
 402 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.6)    11- 3   
 405 N Seneca Valley          PA    Div1-S2 ( 3-12, 88.5)     9- 8 2o
 409 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 73.1)    12- 2   
 423 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.1)    14- 1   
 425 A Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 5, 88.1)    12- 9   
 428 A West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 71.9)    13- 1   
 430 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.7)    14- 6   
 502 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 86.2)     7- 6  o
 507 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 74.9)    17- 3   
 509 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 80.3)    13-11   
 510 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 89.1)     6- 8   
 512 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (15- 5, 93.4)     8-11   
 515 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 77.8)    15- 7   
 520 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 80.3)    11- 9   
 522 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 89.1)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Nichols                 6-15      -9     0    ---   -8.02
   325 A St Joseph Collegiate    3-11      -8    -8           0.07
   326 A Grand Island           18- 3      15    19           0.00
   402 H Sweet Home             11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   405 N Seneca Valley           9- 8 2o    1     0          n/a  
   409 A Williamsville South    12- 2      10    14           0.00
   423 A North Tonawanda        14- 1      13    17           0.00
   425 A Iroquois Central       12- 9       3     0    +      3.66
   428 A West Seneca West       13- 1      12    15           0.00
   430 H West Seneca East       14- 6       8     7           0.96
   502 H Lancaster               7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.54
   507 H Lake Shore Central     17- 3      14    14           0.00
   509 A Williamsville North    13-11       2     7    --    -5.17
   510 H Niagara Wheatfield      6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.66
   512 H Hamburg                 8-11      -3    -3           0.63
   515 H Amherst Central        15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   520 H Williamsville North    11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.50
   522 A Niagara Wheatfield      5- 6      -1    -1           0.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Nichols                 6-15      -9     0    ---   -8.02
   520 H Williamsville North    11- 9       2     9    ---   -7.50
   509 A Williamsville North    13-11       2     7    --    -5.17
   402 H Sweet Home             11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   502 H Lancaster               7- 6  o    1     3    -     -2.54
   510 H Niagara Wheatfield      6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.66
   515 H Amherst Central        15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Iroquois Central       12- 9       3     0    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.61 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.82 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/