Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Jay Negus             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.4514618    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Chaminade              NY LI AAA-AA  (13- 3, 99.9)     5-10   
 326 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 90.0)    14- 7   
 328 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 91.5)    14- 4   
 401 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 78.7)    18- 9   
 403 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 91.3)     7-13   
 405 H Yorktown               NY B  Sec 1   (18- 5, 99.9)     8- 7  o
 409 H Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.8)    10- 8   
 411 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 97.6)     7- 8   
 416 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 90.9)     9- 3   
 422 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     2- 8   
 425 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 83.4)    12- 5   
 501 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.4)     7- 8  o
 503 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.0)    12- 6   
 506 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     9- 8 2o
 508 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.0)    10- 5   
 513 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 87.2)     6- 5   
 519 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 87.2)     8- 7  o
 521 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Chaminade               5-10      -5    -6          n/a  
   326 A Sachem East            14- 7       7     3    +      3.76
   328 H Bay Shore              14- 4      10     3    +++    6.31
   401 A Middle Country         18- 9       9    14          -1.00
   403 H Northport               7-13      -6     3    ---   -9.92
   405 H Yorktown                8- 7  o    1    -4          n/a  
   409 H Hauppauge              10- 8       2     5    -     -3.38
   411 H Smithtown East          7- 8      -1    -2           1.42
   416 A Half Hollow Hills East  9- 3       6     2    +      3.64
   422 A Smithtown West          2- 8      -6    -6           0.66
   425 H Patchogue-Medford      12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   501 A Sachem North            7- 8  o   -1    -2           1.15
   503 H Riverhead              12- 6       6     7          -1.22
   506 A West Islip              9- 8 2o    1     0           1.62
   508 H Half Hollow Hills West 10- 5       5     4           0.81
   513 A Connetquot              6- 5       1     6    --    -5.05
   519 H Connetquot              8- 7  o    1     7    ---   -7.00
   521 H West Islip              5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Northport               7-13      -6     3    ---   -9.92
   519 H Connetquot              8- 7  o    1     7    ---   -7.00
   513 A Connetquot              6- 5       1     6    --    -5.05
   409 H Hauppauge              10- 8       2     5    -     -3.38
   425 H Patchogue-Medford      12- 5       7    11    -     -3.00
   521 H West Islip              5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Bay Shore              14- 4      10     3    +++    6.31
   405 H Yorktown                8- 7  o    1    -4    ++         
   326 A Sachem East            14- 7       7     3    +      3.76
   416 A Half Hollow Hills East  9- 3       6     2    +      3.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.21 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.92 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/