Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.0609055    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-B   ( 2-11, 64.1)    15- 1   
 401 A Long Branch            NJ 2  South   ( 0-20, 55.3)    16- 0   
 405 A Old Bridge             NJ 4  South   (15- 6, 83.5)     6- 7   
 409 A Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   ( 5-12, 72.2)     8- 3   
 412 H Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   ( 5-10, 67.9)    19- 9   
 419 H East Brunswick         NJ 4  North   ( 6-14, 73.1)    11- 8   
 421 H Brick Township         NJ 3  South   ( 8-11, 71.6)    10- 6   
 423 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   (10- 8, 80.4)     6- 9   
 426 A Holmdel                NJ 1  South   ( 9- 8, 79.4)     4- 5  o
 428 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 1  South   (17- 4, 88.8)     7- 8   
 501 H Manasquan              NJ 1  South   (11- 6, 80.2)    10-11   
 503 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 7- 8, 75.1)     9- 3   
 505 A Marlboro               NJ 4  South   ( 7-11, 72.3)    13- 4   
 506 A Red Bank Regional      NJ 2  South   (14- 7, 80.7)     7- 9   
 512 H Ocean Township         NJ 2  South   ( 7-10, 76.7)    11- 9   
 514 H West Windsor-PB No     NJ 3  South   ( 8-10, 77.2)     6- 3   
 520 A St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (17- 6, 92.9)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Monsignor Donovan      15- 1      14    17           0.00
   401 A Long Branch            16- 0      16    23           0.00
   405 A Old Bridge              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.05
   409 A Shore Regional          8- 3       5     6          -1.31
   412 H Ranney School          19- 9      10    13           0.00
   419 H East Brunswick         11- 8       3     8    --    -5.31
   421 H Brick Township         10- 6       4     9    --    -5.86
   423 A Red Bank Catholic       6- 9      -3    -1          -1.04
   426 A Holmdel                 4- 5  o   -1     0          -0.06
   428 H Rumson-Fair Haven       7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.33
   501 H Manasquan              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.25
   503 H St Rose Belmar          9- 3       6     6          -0.39
   505 A Marlboro               13- 4       9     6    +      2.78
   506 A Red Bank Regional       7- 9      -2    -2           0.25
   512 H Ocean Township         11- 9       2     4    -     -2.72
   514 H West Windsor-PB No      6- 3       3     4          -1.24
   520 A St Augustine Prep       2-17     -15   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H East Brunswick         11- 8       3     8    --    -5.31
   421 H Brick Township         10- 6       4     9    --    -5.86
   501 H Manasquan              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.25
   512 H Ocean Township         11- 9       2     4    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Rumson-Fair Haven       7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.33
   405 A Old Bridge              6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.05
   505 A Marlboro               13- 4       9     6    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.97 Local Power Rank...........    90
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.52 Local SOS Rank.............   130
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    85
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   162
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/