Region = MI 1  Reg2-1           
   Nickname = I Colts                Coach  =   Nate Reynolds         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.4280548    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Okemos                 MI 2  Reg5-2  (15- 2, 92.5)    10-13   
 326 H Novi                   MI 1  Reg3-1  (13- 7, 84.1)    10- 1   
 328 A Forest Hills Northern  MI 1  Reg1-1  (19- 2, 97.0)     8-11   
 329 A East Grand Rapids      MI 2  Reg6-2  (13- 8, 92.2)    13-12  o
 401 A Utica Eisenhower       MI 1  Reg4-1  (15- 3, 88.7)     4- 8   
 419 H Bloomfield Hills       MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 7-10, 78.6)    15- 9   
 421 A Lake Orion             MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 7-12, 77.7)    15- 6   
 423 A Avondale               MI 2  Reg8-2  ( 4-12, 63.0)    14- 0   
 426 A Rochester HS           MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 5- 9, 75.5)    14- 2   
 429 H Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 3-10, 72.0)    16- 1   
 501 A Farmington             MI 2  Reg7-2  ( 5-12, 71.9)    17- 3   
 503 A Holt                   MI 1  Reg1-1  ( 8-11, 80.9)    11- 5   
 506 A Rochester Adams        MI 2  Reg8-2  (15- 5, 86.2)     9- 7   
 508 A Troy Athens            MI 1  Reg4-1  (11- 8, 84.0)    11-10   
 510 H Royal Oak              MI 2  Reg8-2  ( 9- 7, 78.4)    14- 5   
 515 H Birmingham             MI 1  Reg2-1  (12- 8, 89.0)    11- 8   
 517 H Clarkston              MI 1  Reg4-1  (17- 3, 96.0)    12-19   
 519 H Waterford              MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 1-15, 64.7)    20- 1   
 522 H Oxford                 MI 1  Reg2-1  (11- 6, 79.9)    16- 1   
 527 N Birmingham             MI 1  Reg2-1  (12- 8, 89.0)     9- 7   
 530 N Brother Rice           MI 1  Reg2-1  (19- 4, 99.9)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Okemos                 10-13      -3    -1          -1.82
   326 H Novi                   10- 1       9     7           1.81
   328 A Forest Hills Northern   8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.91
   329 A East Grand Rapids      13-12  o    1    -3    ++     4.11
   401 A Utica Eisenhower        4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.37
   419 H Bloomfield Hills       15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   421 A Lake Orion             15- 6       9    11          -1.00
   423 A Avondale               14- 0      14    26           0.00
   426 A Rochester HS           14- 2      12    13           0.00
   429 H Rochester Stoney Creek 16- 1      15    19           0.00
   501 A Farmington             17- 3      14    17           0.00
   503 A Holt                   11- 5       6     8    -     -2.16
   506 A Rochester Adams         9- 7       2     2          -0.92
   508 A Troy Athens            11-10       1     5    --    -4.13
   510 H Royal Oak              14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   515 H Birmingham             11- 8       3     2           0.64
   517 H Clarkston              12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.34
   519 H Waterford              20- 1      19    26           0.00
   522 H Oxford                 16- 1      15    11           0.00
   527 N Birmingham              9- 7       2     1           0.74
   530 N Brother Rice            4-16     -12    -9          -0.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Utica Eisenhower        4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.37
   419 H Bloomfield Hills       15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   508 A Troy Athens            11-10       1     5    --    -4.13
   503 A Holt                   11- 5       6     8    -     -2.16
   517 H Clarkston              12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Forest Hills Northern   8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.91
   329 A East Grand Rapids      13-12  o    1    -3    ++     4.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.21 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.27 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    96
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/