Conf =  Sec4                      Region = MN 1  East             
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Ryan Clark            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.5853729    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 421 A Mounds View            MN 1  East    (12- 3, 89.0)     9- 7   
 423 H East Ridge             MN 1  East    (13- 3, 89.4)     3- 6   
 426 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 92.8)     3-15   
 505 H Woodbury               MN 1  East    ( 3-10, 77.4)    12- 4   
 507 A Cretin-Derham Hall     MN 1  East    ( 4-10, 79.5)     5- 4   
 509 H Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic ( 9- 8, 85.5)     4- 9   
 512 H White Bear Lake        MN 1  East    (14- 3, 91.8)     8- 9 2o
 514 A Park                   MN 1  East    ( 6- 8, 80.5)    10- 4   
 516 A Hastings               MN 1  East    ( 6- 8, 78.7)    11- 8   
 520 A Wayzata                MN 1  Lake    (14- 5, 94.7)     4- 9   
 521 A Forest Lake            MN 1  East    ( 2-12, 68.5)    12- 2   
 523 A Rochester Mayo         MN 1  Big9    ( 7- 7, 83.2)     5- 9   
 526 H Roseville              MN 1  East    ( 7- 7, 81.5)     3- 4   
 529 H Woodbury               MN 1  East    ( 3-10, 77.4)     3-10   
 531 A Mahtomedi              MN 1  Classic ( 9- 8, 85.5)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Mounds View             9- 7       2    -8    +++   10.06
   423 H East Ridge              3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.18
   426 H Lakeville North         3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   505 H Woodbury               12- 4       8     4    +      3.23
   507 A Cretin-Derham Hall      5- 4       1     1          -0.38
   509 H Mahtomedi               4- 9      -5    -3          -1.68
   512 H White Bear Lake         8- 9 2o   -1    -9    +++    8.56
   514 A Park                   10- 4       6     0    ++     5.59
   516 A Hastings               11- 8       3     2           0.78
   520 A Wayzata                 4- 9      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   521 A Forest Lake            12- 2      10    12           0.00
   523 A Rochester Mayo          5- 9      -4    -2          -1.75
   526 H Roseville               3- 4      -1     0          -1.65
   529 H Woodbury                3-10      -7     4    ---  -11.77
   531 A Mahtomedi               3- 9      -6    -4          -1.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 H Woodbury                3-10      -7     4    ---  -11.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Mounds View             9- 7       2    -8    +++   10.06
   512 H White Bear Lake         8- 9 2o   -1    -9    +++    8.56
   423 H East Ridge              3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.18
   514 A Park                   10- 4       6     0    ++     5.59
   520 A Wayzata                 4- 9      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   505 H Woodbury               12- 4       8     4    +      3.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.55 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.87 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/