Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Bob Iorio             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.3869781    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H East Lyme              CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     8-10   
 411 H Guilford               CT M          (11- 9, 82.6)     6-16   
 415 H Waterford              CT S          ( 5-11, 66.0)    18- 5   
 417 H Moses Brown            RI 1  Div-1   ( 8- 8, 89.0)    10-16   
 419 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 9- 8, 71.6)    14- 7   
 422 A Montville              CT S          ( 0-14, 51.1)    20- 2   
 424 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          ( 3-13, 56.5)    18- 0   
 429 A Ledyard                CT M          (13- 6, 76.0)     5- 9   
 501 H Bacon Academy          CT S          (11- 7, 75.4)    13-14   
 506 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 4-11, 63.8)    19- 7   
 508 A Waterford              CT S          ( 5-11, 66.0)    13- 8   
 510 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 4-12, 63.8)    12- 6   
 515 H Montville              CT S          ( 0-14, 51.1)    23- 0   
 519 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11- 9, 81.6)     5-14   
 520 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          ( 3-13, 56.5)    17- 0   
 522 H Ledyard                CT M          (13- 6, 76.0)     9-12   
 604 A Old Lyme               CT S          (15- 3, 77.4)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H East Lyme               8-10      -2    -4    +      2.27
   411 H Guilford                6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.72
   415 H Waterford              18- 5      13    10           0.00
   417 H Moses Brown            10-16      -6   -12          n/a  
   419 A Fitch-Groton           14- 7       7     3    +      3.97
   422 A Montville              20- 2      18    23           0.00
   424 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  18- 0      18    19           0.00
   429 A Ledyard                 5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   501 H Bacon Academy          13-14      -1     0          -1.95
   506 H Woodstock Academy      19- 7      12    12           0.00
   508 A Waterford              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.62
   510 A Norwich Free Academy   12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   515 H Montville              23- 0      23    25           0.00
   519 A Daniel Hand-Madison     5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.05
   520 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler  17- 0      17    18           0.00
   522 H Ledyard                 9-12      -3     0    -     -3.33
   604 A Old Lyme               11-12      -1    -2           1.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Norwich Free Academy   12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   411 H Guilford                6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.72
   429 A Ledyard                 5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   508 A Waterford              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.62
   519 A Daniel Hand-Madison     5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.05
   522 H Ledyard                 9-12      -3     0    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Moses Brown            10-16      -6   -12    ++         
   409 H East Lyme               8-10      -2    -4    +      2.27
   419 A Fitch-Groton           14- 7       7     3    +      3.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.49 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.51 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    75
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
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