Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Marc Moreau           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0276337    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Summit                 NJ 2  North   (23- 2, 97.8)     4-12   
 328 A Rutgers Prep           NJ    Grp-B   (10- 9, 84.9)    12- 7   
 331 A North Brunswick        NJ 4  North   ( 2-17, 63.3)    15- 2   
 401 H Edison                 NJ 4  North   ( 3-15, 65.3)    17- 1   
 403 A Old Bridge             NJ 4  South   (15- 6, 83.5)     5- 9   
 407 H Scotch Plains Fanwood  NJ 3  North   (16- 4, 87.3)     6- 5   
 409 A Lawrenceville          NJ    Private (12- 9, 90.7)    10-17   
 412 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (19- 1, 99.5)     6-15   
 414 A J.P. Stevens           NJ 4  North   ( 7-10, 66.1)    18- 1   
 417 H East Brunswick         NJ 4  North   ( 6-14, 73.1)    15- 3   
 419 H Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     (11- 9, 85.5)     9-10 2o
 422 H Mountain Lakes         NJ 1  North   (22- 4, 95.9)     4-17   
 424 A Needham                MA 1  South   (18- 3, 97.5)     6-16   
 426 A Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (19- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 429 H South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   (11- 7, 81.6)    16- 6   
 501 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ 4  North   (10- 8, 89.3)     5-13   
 503 H Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   ( 8-12, 79.3)    14- 5   
 504 A Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (15- 5, 94.7)     2-16   
 507 H J.P. Stevens           NJ 4  North   ( 7-10, 66.1)    17- 1   
 509 H South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   (11- 7, 81.6)    12- 5   
 513 A Old Bridge             NJ 4  South   (15- 6, 83.5)     7- 6   
 519 H St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   ( 9-10, 85.3)     7- 6 2o
 521 A Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (19- 1, 99.5)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Summit                  4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
   328 A Rutgers Prep           12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.23
   331 A North Brunswick        15- 2      13    19           0.00
   401 H Edison                 17- 1      16    20           0.00
   403 A Old Bridge              5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.17
   407 H Scotch Plains Fanwood   6- 5       1    -1    +      2.68
   409 A Lawrenceville          10-17      -7    -7           0.98
   412 H Bergen Catholic         6-15      -9   -13           1.00
   414 A J.P. Stevens           18- 1      17    16           0.00
   417 H East Brunswick         15- 3      12    12           0.00
   419 H Germantown Academy      9-10 2o   -1     0          n/a  
   422 H Mountain Lakes          4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   424 A Needham                 6-16     -10   -14          n/a  
   426 A Bishop Guertin          3-16     -13   -16          n/a  
   429 H South Brunswick        16- 6      10     4    ++     5.95
   501 A Bridgewater-Raritan     5-13      -8    -6          -1.42
   503 H Monroe Township        14- 5       9     6    +      2.62
   504 A Immaculata              2-16     -14   -12           0.00
   507 H J.P. Stevens           17- 1      16    19           0.00
   509 H South Brunswick        12- 5       7     4    +      2.95
   513 A Old Bridge              7- 6       1     0           1.83
   519 H St Peter's Prep         7- 6 2o    1     0           0.65
   521 A Bergen Catholic         4-16     -12   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Old Bridge              5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Rutgers Prep           12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.23
   429 H South Brunswick        16- 6      10     4    ++     5.95
   326 A Summit                  4-12      -8   -15    +      2.00
   407 H Scotch Plains Fanwood   6- 5       1    -1    +      2.68
   503 H Monroe Township        14- 5       9     6    +      2.62
   509 H South Brunswick        12- 5       7     4    +      2.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.18 Local Power Rank...........    63
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.54 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   163
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/