Region = CO 4A Mountn           
   Nickname = O Sailors              Coach  =   Jay Lattimore         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3849411    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 A Glenwood Springs       CO 4A Mountn  ( 0-13, 55.7)    21- 0   
 314 A Green Mountain         CO 4A Foothil ( 4-11, 70.6)    10- 4   
 321 N Durango                CO 4A Mountn  (10- 5, 82.6)    10- 3   
 322 N Telluride              CO 4A Mountn  ( 5- 6, 70.9)    11- 3   
 327 A Eagle Valley           CO 4A Mountn  ( 3-12, 65.6)    22- 0   
 329 H Battle Mountain        CO 4A Mountn  (14- 3, 86.6)    15- 8   
 331 H Thompson Valley        CO 4A Foothil (12- 5, 86.3)    14-11   
 404 H Golden                 CO 4A Foothil ( 3-12, 68.8)    16- 4   
 405 H Cheyenne Mountain      CO 4A PikesPk (11- 6, 85.4)    14-13   
 411 A Grand Junction         CO 4A Mountn  ( 7- 5, 76.0)    10- 1   
 412 A Fruita Monument        CO 4A Mountn  ( 4- 9, 68.8)    16- 5   
 418 A Windsor                CO 4A Metro   ( 7- 9, 77.3)    15- 8   
 419 A Valor Christian        CO 4A Metro   (12- 5, 84.5)    10-11  o
 501 A Summit                 CO 4A Mountn  ( 6-10, 71.4)    13- 2   
 503 H Aspen                  CO 4A Mountn  (15- 3, 89.0)    13-16   
 506 H Conifer                CO 4A Foothil ( 6- 8, 77.3)    14- 4   
 509 A Valor Christian        CO 4A Metro   (12- 5, 84.5)    14- 8   
 514 N Ponderosa              CO 4A PikesPk (16- 2, 92.5)    13-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Glenwood Springs       21- 0      21    31           0.00
   314 A Green Mountain         10- 4       6    16    --    -4.00
   321 N Durango                10- 3       7     5           1.64
   322 N Telluride              11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   327 A Eagle Valley           22- 0      22    21           0.00
   329 H Battle Mountain        15- 8       7     2    ++     4.95
   331 H Thompson Valley        14-11       3     2           0.68
   404 H Golden                 16- 4      12    19           0.00
   405 H Cheyenne Mountain      14-13       1     3    -     -2.26
   411 A Grand Junction         10- 1       9    11          -1.00
   412 A Fruita Monument        16- 5      11    18           0.00
   418 A Windsor                15- 8       7     9    -     -2.97
   419 A Valor Christian        10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.73
   501 A Summit                 13- 2      11    15           0.00
   503 H Aspen                  13-16      -3     0    -     -2.60
   506 H Conifer                14- 4      10    11           0.00
   509 A Valor Christian        14- 8       6     2    +      3.27
   514 N Ponderosa              13-17      -4    -4           0.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Green Mountain         10- 4       6    16    --    -4.00
   322 N Telluride              11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   405 H Cheyenne Mountain      14-13       1     3    -     -2.26
   418 A Windsor                15- 8       7     9    -     -2.97
   419 A Valor Christian        10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.73
   503 H Aspen                  13-16      -3     0    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Battle Mountain        15- 8       7     2    ++     4.95
   509 A Valor Christian        14- 8       6     2    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.95 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.23 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    61
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/