Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.1232910    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 78.7)    12- 1   
 328 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 7-12, 81.0)     6- 7   
 401 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 90.0)     7- 5   
 403 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 91.5)    12- 2   
 409 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 90.9)     3- 5   
 411 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     5-10   
 414 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 91.3)     9- 7   
 416 H Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.8)    12- 4   
 422 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 97.6)    12- 8   
 424 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 80.7)    14- 5   
 426 N Bronxville             NY C  Sec 1   (18- 6, 97.8)     6- 5   
 501 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 94.2)     8- 7  o
 503 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.0)    16-11   
 506 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 87.2)    10- 9   
 508 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.0)    11- 4   
 513 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     6- 5  o
 521 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 90.9)     6- 5   
 523 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 97.6)    11-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Middle Country         12- 1      11    15           0.00
   328 A Archbishop Spalding     6- 7      -1    13          n/a  
   401 A Sachem East             7- 5       2     4    -     -2.42
   403 H Bay Shore              12- 2      10     4    ++     5.13
   409 A Half Hollow Hills East  3- 5      -2     3    --    -5.54
   411 A Smithtown West          5-10      -5    -5           0.48
   414 H Northport               9- 7       2     5    -     -3.10
   416 H Hauppauge              12- 4       8     6           1.44
   422 A Smithtown East         12- 8       4    -3    +++    7.19
   424 H Lindenhurst            14- 5       9    15          -1.00
   426 N Bronxville              6- 5       1    -2          n/a  
   501 H Ward Melville           8- 7  o    1     2          -1.15
   503 H Half Hollow Hills West 16-11       5     5          -0.37
   506 A Connetquot             10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.23
   508 H Riverhead              11- 4       7     8          -1.40
   513 A West Islip              6- 5  o    1     0           0.44
   521 H Half Hollow Hills East  6- 5       1     5    --    -4.48
   523 A Smithtown East         11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Archbishop Spalding     6- 7      -1    13    ---        
   506 A Connetquot             10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.23
   409 A Half Hollow Hills East  3- 5      -2     3    --    -5.54
   521 H Half Hollow Hills East  6- 5       1     5    --    -4.48
   401 A Sachem East             7- 5       2     4    -     -2.42
   414 H Northport               9- 7       2     5    -     -3.10
   523 A Smithtown East         11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Smithtown East         12- 8       4    -3    +++    7.19
   403 H Bay Shore              12- 2      10     4    ++     5.13
   426 N Bronxville              6- 5       1    -2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.39 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.85 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/