Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   T.J. Barnett          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9987488    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     ( 7-11, 84.9)     7- 4   
 404 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 4-11, 83.5)     5- 8   
 407 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 9- 6, 91.3)     5-16   
 409 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (10- 6, 90.7)     4- 5 3o
 411 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (10- 7, 90.1)     7-10   
 416 H Masters - Dobbs Ferry  NE 2  FAA     ( 2- 8, 73.4)    15- 3   
 423 H Hackley                NY    Ivy     (17- 2, 99.9)     3-15   
 426 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     ( 7-11, 84.9)     3-10   
 428 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 4-11, 83.5)    12-11  o
 430 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 9- 6, 91.3)     5-14   
 503 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (10- 6, 90.7)     4-10   
 505 H Columbia Prep          NY    Ivy     ( 0- 5, 69.0)    19- 5   
 507 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     (10- 7, 90.1)    10- 9   
 509 H Long Island Lutheran   NY    MLA     ( 4-11, 76.1)    11-10   
 510 A Hackley                NY    Ivy     (17- 2, 99.9)     3-15   
 512 A Portledge              NY    MLA     ( 4-11, 78.8)    15- 3   
 517 A Rye Country Day        NE 2  FAA     (13- 4, 99.9)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Poly Prep               7- 4       3     0    +      2.59
   404 A Dalton                  5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.73
   407 H Trinity School          5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.98
   409 H Fieldston               4- 5 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.46
   411 H Horace Mann             7-10      -3    -4           1.83
   416 H Masters - Dobbs Ferry  15- 3      12    12          n/a  
   423 H Hackley                 3-15     -12   -14           0.00
   426 A Poly Prep               3-10      -7     0    ---   -7.39
   428 H Dalton                 12-11  o    1     1          -0.75
   430 A Trinity School          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.96
   503 A Fieldston               4-10      -6    -5          -0.52
   505 H Columbia Prep          19- 5      14    16           0.00
   507 A Horace Mann            10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.85
   509 H Long Island Lutheran   11-10       1     9    ---   -8.14
   510 A Hackley                 3-15     -12   -14           0.00
   512 A Portledge              15- 3      12     6    +      3.50
   517 A Rye Country Day         3-11      -8   -15          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Poly Prep               3-10      -7     0    ---   -7.39
   509 H Long Island Lutheran   11-10       1     9    ---   -8.14
   404 A Dalton                  5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.73
   407 H Trinity School          5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.98
   430 A Trinity School          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Fieldston               4- 5 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.46
   507 A Horace Mann            10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.85
   402 H Poly Prep               7- 4       3     0    +      2.59
   512 A Portledge              15- 3      12     6    +      3.50
   517 A Rye Country Day         3-11      -8   -15    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.27 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.83 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/