Conf =  Northeast                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Michael Guanci        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.3482285    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 5-15, 71.5)     7-10   
 407 H Swampscott             MA 3  North   (14- 5, 81.2)     2-10   
 414 H Lynn-Classical/English MA 1  North   ( 4-12, 62.4)    12- 2   
 417 H Winthrop               MA 3  North   ( 6-12, 64.4)     8- 3   
 424 A Salem                  MA 1  North   (12- 9, 79.7)     4- 6   
 426 A Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 5-15, 71.5)    11-10   
 428 A Swampscott             MA 3  North   (14- 5, 81.2)     3-16   
 501 H Cambridge Rindge/Latin MA 1  North   (11- 8, 75.5)     4-10   
 503 A Matignon               MA 3  CenEast ( 5-14, 63.8)    19- 3   
 505 A Winthrop               MA 3  North   ( 6-12, 64.4)     7- 2   
 508 A Lynn-Classical/English MA 1  North   ( 4-12, 62.4)     4- 2   
 510 H Matignon               MA 3  CenEast ( 5-14, 63.8)    10- 7   
 512 H Salem                  MA 1  North   (12- 9, 79.7)     1-11   
 516 A Malden                 MA 1  North   ( 1-15, 57.9)    13- 3   
 519 A Malden                 MA 1  North   ( 1-15, 57.9)    11- 3   
 521 A Cambridge Rindge/Latin MA 1  North   (11- 8, 75.5)     3-14   
 527 A Westford Academy       MA 1  North   (17- 6, 97.2)     1-27   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Methuen                 7-10      -3     0    -     -3.61
   407 H Swampscott              2-10      -8    -9           1.08
   414 H Lynn-Classical/English 12- 2      10     9           0.23
   417 H Winthrop                8- 3       5     7    -     -2.73
   424 A Salem                   4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.74
   426 A Methuen                11-10       1     0           1.57
   428 A Swampscott              3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   501 H Cambridge Rindge/Latin  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.61
   503 A Matignon               19- 3      16     7    +      2.84
   505 A Winthrop                7- 2       5     6          -1.55
   508 A Lynn-Classical/English  4- 2       2     8    ---   -6.59
   510 H Matignon               10- 7       3     8    --    -5.34
   512 H Salem                   1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.43
   516 A Malden                 13- 3      10    13           0.00
   519 A Malden                 11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00
   521 A Cambridge Rindge/Latin  3-14     -11    -4    --    -5.44
   527 A Westford Academy        1-27     -26   -26           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Lynn-Classical/English  4- 2       2     8    ---   -6.59
   510 H Matignon               10- 7       3     8    --    -5.34
   521 A Cambridge Rindge/Latin  3-14     -11    -4    --    -5.44
   402 H Methuen                 7-10      -3     0    -     -3.61
   417 H Winthrop                8- 3       5     7    -     -2.73
   501 H Cambridge Rindge/Latin  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.61
   512 H Salem                   1-11     -10    -7    -     -2.43
   519 A Malden                 11- 3       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Salem                   4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.74
   503 A Matignon               19- 3      16     7    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.54 Local Power Rank...........   119
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.42 Local SOS Rank.............   133
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   118
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   125
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    75
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -26.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -26.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -26.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
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