Providence Academy            5 - 8


 
   Conf =  Sec4                      Region = MN 1  TriMet           
   Nickname = N Lions                Coach  =   Matt Hourigan         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   75.6316757    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 417 A Rogers                 MN 1  Miss-8  ( 3-11, 69.6)     7- 4   
 421 A Buffalo                MN 1  Miss-8  ( 9- 3, 79.6)     5-11   
 422 A St Cloud Tech          MN 1  Indep   ( 0-14, 62.5)    10- 5   
 425 H Buffalo                MN 1  Miss-8  ( 9- 3, 79.6)     5- 7   
 428 H Simley                 MN 1  Classic ( 4- 8, 71.0)     5- 6   
 501 A Monticello             MN 1  Miss-8  ( 6- 6, 72.8)    11-15   
 506 A Delano                 MN 1  Wright  (11- 3, 83.8)     4-17   
 513 H Rogers                 MN 1  Miss-8  ( 3-11, 69.6)     8- 7   
 514 H Delano                 MN 1  Wright  (11- 3, 83.8)     3-15   
 515 H St Cloud Tech          MN 1  Indep   ( 0-14, 62.5)     6- 2   
 521 H Spring Lake Park       MN 1  North   ( 6- 7, 72.8)     7- 6   
 522 H Monticello             MN 1  Miss-8  ( 6- 6, 72.8)     8- 9   
 529 A Mounds View            MN 1  East    (12- 3, 89.0)     2-19   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Rogers                  7- 4       3     0    +      2.80
   421 A Buffalo                 5-11      -6    -9    +      3.77
   422 A St Cloud Tech          10- 5       5     7    -     -2.27
   425 H Buffalo                 5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.47
   428 H Simley                  5- 6      -1     0          -1.12
   501 A Monticello             11-15      -4    -2          -1.01
   506 A Delano                  4-17     -13   -14           0.00
   513 H Rogers                  8- 7       1     1          -0.49
   514 H Delano                  3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   515 H St Cloud Tech           6- 2       4     8    --    -4.56
   521 H Spring Lake Park        7- 6       1    -1    +      2.67
   522 H Monticello              8- 9      -1    -1           0.70
   529 A Mounds View             2-19     -17   -19           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H St Cloud Tech           6- 2       4     8    --    -4.56
   422 A St Cloud Tech          10- 5       5     7    -     -2.27


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Buffalo                 5- 7      -2    -8    +++    6.47
   417 A Rogers                  7- 4       3     0    +      2.80
   421 A Buffalo                 5-11      -6    -9    +      3.77
   521 H Spring Lake Park        7- 6       1    -1    +      2.67




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.46 Local Power Rank...........    58
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.01 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    53
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7


  
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