Region = NE East-1 Nickname = A Big Blue Coach = Stephen MorelandGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.5488434 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 A Noble & Greenough NE ISL (12- 7, 94.7) 6- 8 402 A Belmont Hill NE ISL (14- 2, 99.9) 7-10 405 H New Hampton NE NNELL (12- 5, 93.6) 8- 6 407 H St Johns Prep Danvers MA 1 North ( 9-13, 87.7) 14- 7 409 H Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West ( 5-12, 85.5) 11- 7 411 H Dexter School NE East-1 ( 7- 9, 88.3) 10- 9 416 H Brewster Academy NE NNELL (18- 2, 99.6) 8-13 418 H Bridgton Academy IS IndepIS ( 2- 4, 81.0) 9- 6 423 A Holderness NE NNELL ( 5-11, 81.2) 14- 0 426 A Deerfield NE 1 West (15- 1, 99.9) 5-12 430 A Tabor Academy NE East-1 ( 8- 9, 89.5) 9-16 503 H Loomis Chaffee NE 1 West-FL ( 4-12, 86.0) 7- 8 510 H Kimball Union NE NNELL ( 9- 8, 88.1) 9- 2 512 H Brooks School NE ISL (10- 8, 90.1) 7- 6 517 A Choate NE 1 West-FL ( 7- 7, 90.4) 4- 6 524 H Phillips Exeter NE East-1 (14- 6, 94.4) 12- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Noble & Greenough 6- 8 -2 -3 1.88 402 A Belmont Hill 7-10 -3 -9 +++ 6.08 405 H New Hampton 8- 6 2 0 + 2.94 407 H St Johns Prep Danvers 14- 7 7 4 n/a 409 H Northfield Mt Hermon 11- 7 4 7 n/a 411 H Dexter School 10- 9 1 4 - -3.33 416 H Brewster Academy 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.02 418 H Bridgton Academy 9- 6 3 12 n/a 423 A Holderness 14- 0 14 9 0.39 426 A Deerfield 5-12 -7 -9 n/a 430 A Tabor Academy 9-16 -7 1 --- -8.37 503 H Loomis Chaffee 7- 8 -1 6 n/a 510 H Kimball Union 9- 2 7 4 + 2.43 512 H Brooks School 7- 6 1 2 -1.51 517 A Choate 4- 6 -2 0 n/a 524 H Phillips Exeter 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Bridgton Academy 9- 6 3 12 --- 430 A Tabor Academy 9-16 -7 1 --- -8.37 503 H Loomis Chaffee 7- 8 -1 6 --- 409 H Northfield Mt Hermon 11- 7 4 7 - 411 H Dexter School 10- 9 1 4 - -3.33 517 A Choate 4- 6 -2 0 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Belmont Hill 7-10 -3 -9 +++ 6.08 524 H Phillips Exeter 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.81 405 H New Hampton 8- 6 2 0 + 2.94 407 H St Johns Prep Danvers 14- 7 7 4 + 416 H Brewster Academy 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.02 426 A Deerfield 5-12 -7 -9 + 510 H Kimball Union 9- 2 7 4 + 2.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.72 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 78.77 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3