Region = NE    East-1           
   Nickname = A Big Blue             Coach  =   Stephen Moreland      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5488434    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Noble & Greenough      NE    ISL     (12- 7, 94.7)     6- 8   
 402 A Belmont Hill           NE    ISL     (14- 2, 99.9)     7-10   
 405 H New Hampton            NE    NNELL   (12- 5, 93.6)     8- 6   
 407 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 9-13, 87.7)    14- 7   
 409 H Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 5-12, 85.5)    11- 7   
 411 H Dexter School          NE    East-1  ( 7- 9, 88.3)    10- 9   
 416 H Brewster Academy       NE    NNELL   (18- 2, 99.6)     8-13   
 418 H Bridgton Academy       IS    IndepIS ( 2- 4, 81.0)     9- 6   
 423 A Holderness             NE    NNELL   ( 5-11, 81.2)    14- 0   
 426 A Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.9)     5-12   
 430 A Tabor Academy          NE    East-1  ( 8- 9, 89.5)     9-16   
 503 H Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL ( 4-12, 86.0)     7- 8   
 510 H Kimball Union          NE    NNELL   ( 9- 8, 88.1)     9- 2   
 512 H Brooks School          NE    ISL     (10- 8, 90.1)     7- 6   
 517 A Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 7- 7, 90.4)     4- 6   
 524 H Phillips Exeter        NE    East-1  (14- 6, 94.4)    12- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Noble & Greenough       6- 8      -2    -3           1.88
   402 A Belmont Hill            7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.08
   405 H New Hampton             8- 6       2     0    +      2.94
   407 H St Johns Prep Danvers  14- 7       7     4          n/a  
   409 H Northfield Mt Hermon   11- 7       4     7          n/a  
   411 H Dexter School          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.33
   416 H Brewster Academy        8-13      -5    -7    +      2.02
   418 H Bridgton Academy        9- 6       3    12          n/a  
   423 A Holderness             14- 0      14     9           0.39
   426 A Deerfield               5-12      -7    -9          n/a  
   430 A Tabor Academy           9-16      -7     1    ---   -8.37
   503 H Loomis Chaffee          7- 8      -1     6          n/a  
   510 H Kimball Union           9- 2       7     4    +      2.43
   512 H Brooks School           7- 6       1     2          -1.51
   517 A Choate                  4- 6      -2     0          n/a  
   524 H Phillips Exeter        12- 7       5    -1    +++    6.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Bridgton Academy        9- 6       3    12    ---        
   430 A Tabor Academy           9-16      -7     1    ---   -8.37
   503 H Loomis Chaffee          7- 8      -1     6    ---        
   409 H Northfield Mt Hermon   11- 7       4     7    -          
   411 H Dexter School          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.33
   517 A Choate                  4- 6      -2     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Belmont Hill            7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.08
   524 H Phillips Exeter        12- 7       5    -1    +++    6.81
   405 H New Hampton             8- 6       2     0    +      2.94
   407 H St Johns Prep Danvers  14- 7       7     4    +          
   416 H Brewster Academy        8-13      -5    -7    +      2.02
   426 A Deerfield               5-12      -7    -9    +          
   510 H Kimball Union           9- 2       7     4    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.72 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.77 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/