Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.8082504    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Bath-Haverling         NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 79.5)    19- 5   
 405 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 84.5)    18- 3   
 410 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 80.8)    19- 0   
 412 H Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (12- 5, 88.9)    18- 4   
 415 A Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (15- 6, 94.6)    10-11   
 418 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (14- 5, 95.0)    11-10  o
 422 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 84.9)    15- 0   
 424 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 83.4)    12- 4   
 426 N Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.6)    12-10   
 429 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     7-11   
 503 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 96.8)     5-16   
 506 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 94.0)    13- 3   
 508 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 83.8)    15- 6   
 510 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (15- 5, 93.4)    12- 9   
 512 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 6- 9, 90.9)    11- 8   
 521 H Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 80.8)    18- 3   
 523 N Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (11- 7, 88.3)     8- 7   
 527 N Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (17- 2, 91.9)    17- 5   
 531 N Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 91.6)    19- 4   
 604 N Cazenovia Central      NY C  Sec 3   (22- 1, 99.9)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Bath-Haverling         19- 5      14    18           0.00
   405 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     18- 3      15    12           0.00
   410 H Livonia                19- 0      19    16           0.00
   412 H Carthage               18- 4      14     9          n/a  
   415 A Lakeland/Panas         10-11      -1     1          n/a  
   418 H Canandaigua            11-10  o    1     2          -1.78
   422 H McQuaid Jesuit         15- 0      15    12           0.00
   424 A Webster Schroeder      12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   426 N Clarence               12-10       2     5          n/a  
   429 A Fairport                7-11      -4    -3          -0.66
   503 A Penfield                5-16     -11     0    ---   -9.73
   506 H Webster Thomas         13- 3      10     3    +++    6.20
   508 A Geneva                 15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   510 A Hamburg                12- 9       3     2          n/a  
   512 H Horseheads             11- 8       3     7          n/a  
   521 H Livonia                18- 3      15    16           0.00
   523 N Aquinas Institute       8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.90
   527 N Palmyra-Macedon        17- 5      12     5    ++     4.78
   531 N Akron                  19- 4      15     5          n/a  
   604 N Cazenovia Central       6- 8      -2    -2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Penfield                5-16     -11     0    ---   -9.73
   523 N Aquinas Institute       8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.90
   512 H Horseheads             11- 8       3     7    --         
   415 A Lakeland/Panas         10-11      -1     1    -          
   424 A Webster Schroeder      12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   426 N Clarence               12-10       2     5    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Webster Thomas         13- 3      10     3    +++    6.20
   527 N Palmyra-Macedon        17- 5      12     5    ++     4.78
   531 N Akron                  19- 4      15     5    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.16 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.93 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   19.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3
/