Conf = Indep Region = NY C Sec 5 Nickname = Y Mustangs Coach = Brian HobartGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.8082504 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Bath-Haverling NY C Sec 5 ( 8-10, 79.5) 19- 5 405 A Honeoye Falls-Lima NY C Sec 5 (10- 8, 84.5) 18- 3 410 H Livonia NY C Sec 5 ( 8- 9, 80.8) 19- 0 412 H Carthage NY B Sec 3 (12- 5, 88.9) 18- 4 415 A Lakeland/Panas NY A Sec 1 (15- 6, 94.6) 10-11 418 H Canandaigua NY B Sec 5 (14- 5, 95.0) 11-10 o 422 H McQuaid Jesuit NY B Sec 5 ( 8-10, 84.9) 15- 0 424 A Webster Schroeder NY A Sec 5 ( 6-12, 83.4) 12- 4 426 N Clarence NY A Sec 6 (13- 5, 91.6) 12-10 429 A Fairport NY A Sec 5 (18- 3, 99.9) 7-11 503 A Penfield NY A Sec 5 (13- 5, 96.8) 5-16 506 H Webster Thomas NY A Sec 5 (12- 6, 94.0) 13- 3 508 A Geneva NY C Sec 5 ( 9- 9, 83.8) 15- 6 510 A Hamburg NY B Sec 6 (15- 5, 93.4) 12- 9 512 H Horseheads NY B Sec 4 ( 6- 9, 90.9) 11- 8 521 H Livonia NY C Sec 5 ( 8- 9, 80.8) 18- 3 523 N Aquinas Institute NY C Sec 5 (11- 7, 88.3) 8- 7 527 N Palmyra-Macedon NY C Sec 5 (17- 2, 91.9) 17- 5 531 N Akron NY C Sec 6 (15- 3, 91.6) 19- 4 604 N Cazenovia Central NY C Sec 3 (22- 1, 99.9) 6- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Bath-Haverling 19- 5 14 18 0.00 405 A Honeoye Falls-Lima 18- 3 15 12 0.00 410 H Livonia 19- 0 19 16 0.00 412 H Carthage 18- 4 14 9 n/a 415 A Lakeland/Panas 10-11 -1 1 n/a 418 H Canandaigua 11-10 o 1 2 -1.78 422 H McQuaid Jesuit 15- 0 15 12 0.00 424 A Webster Schroeder 12- 4 8 13 - -2.00 426 N Clarence 12-10 2 5 n/a 429 A Fairport 7-11 -4 -3 -0.66 503 A Penfield 5-16 -11 0 --- -9.73 506 H Webster Thomas 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.20 508 A Geneva 15- 6 9 12 -1.00 510 A Hamburg 12- 9 3 2 n/a 512 H Horseheads 11- 8 3 7 n/a 521 H Livonia 18- 3 15 16 0.00 523 N Aquinas Institute 8- 7 1 8 --- -7.90 527 N Palmyra-Macedon 17- 5 12 5 ++ 4.78 531 N Akron 19- 4 15 5 n/a 604 N Cazenovia Central 6- 8 -2 -2 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Penfield 5-16 -11 0 --- -9.73 523 N Aquinas Institute 8- 7 1 8 --- -7.90 512 H Horseheads 11- 8 3 7 -- 415 A Lakeland/Panas 10-11 -1 1 - 424 A Webster Schroeder 12- 4 8 13 - -2.00 426 N Clarence 12-10 2 5 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 H Webster Thomas 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.20 527 N Palmyra-Macedon 17- 5 12 5 ++ 4.78 531 N Akron 19- 4 15 5 ++/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.16 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 76.93 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 19.0 Championship Rank ....... 2 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.3