Conf =  Monroe-1                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   John Schembri         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.8061523    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 94.0)     7-11   
 329 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (13- 6, 94.6)     4- 3 2o
 403 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 90.9)    14- 7   
 408 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)    11- 9   
 411 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (15- 4, 95.3)     9- 6   
 414 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     5- 8   
 416 A Eastport/South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 87.4)    10- 6   
 422 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 86.8)    14- 2   
 426 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.7)    13- 2   
 429 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (14- 5, 95.0)     7- 8   
 501 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (17- 4, 97.3)     8-12   
 503 H Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (16- 4, 97.2)    16- 5   
 506 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 83.4)    15- 6   
 508 A Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 81.8)    15- 4   
 513 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (15- 4, 98.0)     9- 8   
 517 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 86.0)    16- 6   
 521 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 86.0)    11- 5   
 524 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (15- 4, 98.0)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Webster Thomas          7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.27
   329 H West Genesee            4- 3 2o    1     3          n/a  
   403 H Hilton                 14- 7       7     6           0.50
   408 H Fairport               11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.47
   411 H Orchard Park            9- 6       3     2          n/a  
   414 A West Islip              5- 8      -3     2          n/a  
   416 A Eastport/South Manor   10- 6       4     8          n/a  
   422 H Irondequoit            14- 2      12    10           0.00
   426 H West Seneca East       13- 2      11    14          n/a  
   429 H Canandaigua             7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.45
   501 A Victor                  8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.91
   503 H Penn Yan               16- 5      11     0    +++    9.73
   506 A Webster Schroeder      15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   508 A Brighton               15- 4      11    14           0.00
   513 N Pittsford               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.18
   517 H Rush-Henrietta         16- 6      10    11           0.00
   521 H Rush-Henrietta         11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   524 N Pittsford               6- 9      -3    -1          -1.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Webster Thomas          7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.27
   414 A West Islip              5- 8      -3     2    --         
   416 A Eastport/South Manor   10- 6       4     8    --         
   521 H Rush-Henrietta         11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   329 H West Genesee            4- 3 2o    1     3    -          
   429 H Canandaigua             7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.45
   501 A Victor                  8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Penn Yan               16- 5      11     0    +++    9.73
   408 H Fairport               11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.47
   513 N Pittsford               9- 8       1    -1    +      2.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.83 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.83 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   17.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/