Conf =  Sec5                      Region = MN 1  NoWest           
   Nickname = N Orioles              Coach  =   Darren Nelson         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9803085    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 415 A Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 86.0)     5- 9   
 421 H Totino Grace           MN 1  North   ( 6- 8, 81.7)     5-10   
 423 A Andover                MN 1  NoWest  (10- 5, 86.1)     5-18   
 430 H Elk River              MN 1  NoWest  ( 4-10, 73.5)    21-11   
 502 A Maple Grove            MN 1  NoWest  (10- 6, 88.2)     8-13   
 503 A Hill-Murray            MN 1  Classic ( 0-12, 74.2)    18- 6   
 505 A Coon Rapids            MN 1  NoWest  ( 0-12, 67.0)    18- 5   
 507 H Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  (15- 2, 93.7)     8-14   
 512 A Centennial             MN 1  NoWest  ( 6- 8, 77.3)    14- 8   
 514 H Blaine                 MN 1  NoWest  ( 5-11, 80.7)     8- 7  o
 516 H Breck                  MN 1  TriMet  ( 3- 9, 75.1)    14-12   
 521 H Anoka                  MN 1  NoWest  (11- 3, 90.1)     6-15   
 522 A Armstrong              MN 1  NoWest  ( 8- 6, 85.7)    11-12   
 529 A Armstrong              MN 1  NoWest  ( 8- 6, 85.7)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Apple Valley            5- 9      -4    -5           1.46
   421 H Totino Grace            5-10      -5     0    --    -5.18
   423 A Andover                 5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.50
   430 H Elk River              21-11      10     8           1.66
   502 A Maple Grove             8-13      -5    -7    +      2.64
   503 A Hill-Murray            18- 6      12     6    +      3.57
   505 A Coon Rapids            18- 5      13    13           0.00
   507 H Champlin Park           8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   512 A Centennial             14- 8       6     3    +      2.70
   514 H Blaine                  8- 7  o    1     1          -0.19
   516 H Breck                  14-12       2     6    --    -4.76
   521 H Anoka                   6-15      -9    -8          -0.78
   522 A Armstrong              11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   529 A Armstrong               6-13      -7    -5          -1.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Totino Grace            5-10      -5     0    --    -5.18
   423 A Andover                 5-18     -13    -5    --    -4.50
   516 H Breck                  14-12       2     6    --    -4.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Champlin Park           8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   522 A Armstrong              11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   502 A Maple Grove             8-13      -5    -7    +      2.64
   503 A Hill-Murray            18- 6      12     6    +      3.57
   512 A Centennial             14- 8       6     3    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.23 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.37 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/