Region = MD 32 West-1           
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Gavin Donahue         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1632233    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Smithsburg             MD 21 West-2  (10- 3, 82.3)     7- 8  o
 327 H Century                MD 32 South-1 ( 7- 8, 79.8)     6- 5  o
 401 A Urbana                 MD 32 West-1  (14- 5, 89.7)     5-19   
 403 H Walkersville           MD 21 West-2  ( 7- 8, 76.2)     5- 7   
 405 A Winters Mill           MD 32 South-1 ( 8- 8, 81.9)     5-12   
 410 A Tuscarora              MD 43 North-1 ( 2-12, 71.5)    10- 4   
 414 A Middletown             MD 32 West-1  (13- 3, 88.7)     5- 9   
 419 N Long Reach             MD 32 South-2 ( 4-11, 70.9)    19- 5   
 419 A Wilde Lake             MD 32 South-2 ( 6-10, 76.3)    11- 8   
 423 H Linganore              MD 43 North-1 ( 7- 6, 82.8)     8-15   
 424 A Frederick              MD 32 West-1  ( 8- 7, 76.3)    11-12   
 429 A North Carroll          MD 21 West-1  (16- 3, 89.0)    11-17   
 501 H Catoctin               MD 21 West-2  ( 4-11, 69.3)    16- 4   
 507 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD 32 West-1  ( 1-13, 64.7)    15- 5   
 509 A Urbana                 MD 32 West-1  (14- 5, 89.7)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Smithsburg              7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.36
   327 H Century                 6- 5  o    1     0           1.83
   401 A Urbana                  5-19     -14   -12           0.00
   403 H Walkersville            5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.73
   405 A Winters Mill            5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.50
   410 A Tuscarora              10- 4       6     5           0.13
   414 A Middletown              5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   419 N Long Reach             19- 5      14     7    +      2.70
   419 A Wilde Lake             11- 8       3     1           1.86
   423 H Linganore               8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.20
   424 A Frederick              11-12      -1     1    -     -2.10
   429 A North Carroll          11-17      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   501 H Catoctin               16- 4      12     9           0.34
   507 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    15- 5      10    14           0.00
   509 A Urbana                  9-14      -5   -12    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Walkersville            5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.73
   405 A Winters Mill            5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.50
   423 H Linganore               8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.20
   424 A Frederick              11-12      -1     1    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Middletown              5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   429 A North Carroll          11-17      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   509 A Urbana                  9-14      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   321 H Smithsburg              7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.36
   419 N Long Reach             19- 5      14     7    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.19 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.95 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    84
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   100
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   107
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/