Region = MI 1  Reg3-1           
   Nickname = I Mustangs             Coach  =   Greg Durham           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9367828    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1  Reg4-1  (15- 6, 94.5)    11-22   
 327 A Walled Lake Northern   MI 1  Reg1-1  ( 5- 8, 75.3)    12- 5   
 329 A Clarkston              MI 1  Reg4-1  (17- 3, 96.0)     7-14   
 331 H Howell                 MI 1  Reg1-1  (12- 5, 85.9)    11- 9   
 401 H Okemos                 MI 2  Reg5-2  (15- 2, 92.5)     9-14   
 414 A Novi                   MI 1  Reg3-1  (13- 7, 84.1)     9- 6   
 416 A Walled Lake Western    MI 2  Reg7-2  ( 5-11, 72.1)    19- 7   
 426 H Rockford               MI 1  Reg1-1  ( 4-14, 77.1)    10- 7   
 428 H AA Gabriel Richard     MI 2  Reg7-2  (12- 8, 80.0)    16- 3   
 430 H Canton                 MI 1  Reg3-1  ( 9- 6, 80.4)    16- 9   
 502 A Salem                  MI 1  Reg3-1  ( 5-10, 74.2)    12- 8   
 505 H Plymouth               MI 1  Reg3-1  ( 6-11, 76.4)    11- 6   
 509 H South Lyon             MI 1  Reg3-1  (12- 3, 87.4)     8-10   
 514 H Hartland               MI 1  Reg1-1  (14- 4, 87.2)    10-11  o
 516 H Holt                   MI 1  Reg1-1  ( 8-11, 80.9)     7- 4   
 517 A East Grand Rapids      MI 2  Reg6-2  (13- 8, 92.2)     6-14   
 521 H Ann Arbor Pioneer      MI 1  Reg3-1  ( 6- 8, 76.3)    17- 9   
 528 N Novi                   MI 1  Reg3-1  (13- 7, 84.1)    11- 8   
 530 N Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1  Reg3-1  ( 5-14, 84.4)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Detroit Catholic Cent  11-22     -11   -10           0.00
   327 A Walled Lake Northern   12- 5       7     8          -1.96
   329 A Clarkston               7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   331 H Howell                 11- 9       2     0           1.39
   401 H Okemos                  9-14      -5    -6           1.03
   414 A Novi                    9- 6       3     0    +      2.85
   416 A Walled Lake Western    19- 7      12    12           0.00
   426 H Rockford               10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.38
   428 H AA Gabriel Richard     16- 3      13     6    +      3.55
   430 H Canton                 16- 9       7     6           0.89
   502 A Salem                  12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   505 H Plymouth               11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   509 H South Lyon              8-10      -2     0          -1.11
   514 H Hartland               10-11  o   -1     0          -0.27
   516 H Holt                    7- 4       3     5    -     -2.52
   517 A East Grand Rapids       6-14      -8    -7          -0.04
   521 H Ann Arbor Pioneer      17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00
   528 N Novi                   11- 8       3     1           1.75
   530 N Univ Detroit Jesuit     5-11      -6     0    ---   -7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Rockford               10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.38
   502 A Salem                  12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   530 N Univ Detroit Jesuit     5-11      -6     0    ---   -7.00
   505 H Plymouth               11- 6       5    10    --    -5.00
   516 H Holt                    7- 4       3     5    -     -2.52
   521 H Ann Arbor Pioneer      17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Clarkston               7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   414 A Novi                    9- 6       3     0    +      2.85
   428 H AA Gabriel Richard     16- 3      13     6    +      3.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.37 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.99 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/