Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Josh Thornton         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2339783    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Wilton                 CT L          ( 6-10, 82.8)     7-15   
 412 H Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 0-14, 62.0)    20- 0   
 415 H St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (15- 6, 88.3)     4-15   
 417 H Bellport               NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.8)     8- 9   
 419 A Staples-Westport       CT L          (15- 6, 88.7)     8-14   
 422 H New Canaan             CT M          (17- 5, 93.9)     4-19   
 426 A Fairfield-Warde        CT L          (12- 7, 84.3)     3-10   
 429 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          (10- 8, 82.3)     5- 6  o
 501 A Newtown                CT L          (14- 5, 85.9)     3-11   
 503 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          ( 8-10, 82.0)     4-12   
 505 H New Milford            CT L          (15- 5, 85.3)     6- 8   
 508 H Trumbull               CT L          ( 9- 9, 79.2)    10-13   
 510 A Stamford               CT L          ( 6-10, 75.0)    10- 7   
 513 H Darien                 CT M          (23- 0, 99.9)     2-18   
 515 A New Fairfield          CT M          (10- 9, 82.2)     4- 9   
 520 H Ridgefield             CT L          (16- 5, 94.6)     2-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Wilton                  7-15      -8    -9           1.92
   412 H Trinity Catholic       20- 0      20    12           0.00
   415 H St Joseph-Trumbull      4-15     -11   -13           0.00
   417 H Bellport                8- 9      -1    -7          n/a  
   419 A Staples-Westport        8-14      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   422 H New Canaan              4-19     -15   -19           0.00
   426 A Fairfield-Warde         3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   429 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   5- 6  o   -1    -9    +++    8.35
   501 A Newtown                 3-11      -8   -13    +      2.00
   503 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       4-12      -8    -7          -0.58
   505 H New Milford             6- 8      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   508 H Trumbull               10-13      -3    -4           1.58
   510 A Stamford               10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.11
   513 H Darien                  2-18     -16   -25           0.00
   515 A New Fairfield           4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.23
   520 H Ridgefield              2-18     -16   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Bellport                8- 9      -1    -7    +++        
   429 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   5- 6  o   -1    -9    +++    8.35
   505 H New Milford             6- 8      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   419 A Staples-Westport        8-14      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   510 A Stamford               10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.11
   515 A New Fairfield           4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.23
   426 A Fairfield-Warde         3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   501 A Newtown                 3-11      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.76 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.38 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    54
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    55
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/