Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   George Searing        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.4569931    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 83.4)    10- 7   
 328 H Syosset                NY A  Sec 8   (13- 5, 93.2)    11-12   
 401 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 83.9)    13- 6   
 403 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 94.2)    13- 7   
 405 H Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 87.5)    14- 8   
 409 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.0)     5- 8   
 411 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 87.2)    16-10   
 414 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.4)     7- 9   
 416 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.0)     6- 5   
 422 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 7, 93.9)     7- 8   
 426 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 90.0)    13- 7   
 501 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 91.5)     8-13   
 502 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 84.2)    14-13   
 506 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 99.9)     7-14   
 508 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.5)    11-12   
 513 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 97.6)    12-13  o
 519 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 91.0)    15- 3   
 521 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 97.6)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Patchogue-Medford      10- 7       3     8    --    -5.80
   328 H Syosset                11-12      -1     0          n/a  
   401 H East Islip             13- 6       7     8          -1.38
   403 A Ward Melville          13- 7       6    -3    +++    9.92
   405 H Mahopac                14- 8       6     4          n/a  
   409 A Half Hollow Hills West  5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.29
   411 H Connetquot             16-10       6     5           0.95
   414 A Sachem North            7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.10
   416 A Riverhead               6- 5       1     2          -1.33
   422 H West Islip              7- 8      -1    -1           0.63
   426 H Sachem East            13- 7       6     2    +      3.77
   501 A Bay Shore               8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.80
   502 A William Floyd          14-13       1     6    --    -5.05
   506 H Smithtown West          7-14      -7    -7           0.67
   508 A Walt Whitman           11-12      -1    -3    +      2.19
   513 H Smithtown East         12-13  o   -1    -5    ++     4.37
   519 A Half Hollow Hills West 15- 3      12     0    +++   10.71
   521 A Smithtown East          9-16      -7    -7           0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Patchogue-Medford      10- 7       3     8    --    -5.80
   502 A William Floyd          14-13       1     6    --    -5.05
   409 A Half Hollow Hills West  5- 8      -3     0    -     -2.29
   501 A Bay Shore               8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Ward Melville          13- 7       6    -3    +++    9.92
   519 A Half Hollow Hills West 15- 3      12     0    +++   10.71
   513 H Smithtown East         12-13  o   -1    -5    ++     4.37
   414 A Sachem North            7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.10
   426 H Sachem East            13- 7       6     2    +      3.77
   508 A Walt Whitman           11-12      -1    -3    +      2.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.26 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.98 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/