Region = MD    MILL-W           
   Nickname = A Dragons              Coach  =   Rob Horne             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5720978    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (19- 1, 96.5)     3-16   
 313 A Sidwell Friends        DC    MAC     ( 6-10, 81.9)    11- 4   
 320 N St Maria Goretti       MD    MILL-W  ( 5-10, 77.4)    16- 6   
 321 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (12- 7, 95.5)     3-11   
 327 A Lake Braddock          VA 6A Patriot (12- 6, 92.2)     6-10   
 329 N Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (13- 6, 95.7)     4-15   
 401 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (10-12, 82.8)     9-15   
 402 H John Paul the Great    VA 1  Indep   (13- 5, 91.1)    18- 9   
 405 H Flint Hill             DC    MAC     ( 9-10, 88.3)    15- 8   
 408 H Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     (12- 6, 95.9)     4-12   
 411 A Worcester Prep         MD    MILL-E  (11- 5, 86.1)    14- 9   
 412 A Salisbury              MD    MILL-E  ( 1-11, 64.6)    20- 3   
 417 A Covenant               VA 2  VIC     (13- 5, 99.9)    10- 9   
 424 A The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (10- 8, 90.9)     9- 5   
 426 A Calverton              MD    MILL-E  (14- 5, 94.0)     6-12   
 429 A St James               DC    MAC     ( 9-10, 85.1)    13- 9   
 501 A Trinity Episcopal      VA 1  Indep   ( 3-10, 80.5)    16- 4   
 502 H Mercersburg Academy    MD    MILL-W  ( 5-12, 81.5)    17- 6   
 505 H St Maria Goretti       MD    MILL-W  ( 5-10, 77.4)    13- 2   
 507 H The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (10- 8, 90.9)     6- 7   
 510 A Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     (12- 6, 95.9)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Georgetown Prep         3-16     -13    -7          n/a  
   313 A Sidwell Friends        11- 4       7     6           0.22
   320 N St Maria Goretti       16- 6      10    12           0.00
   321 A St Marys Ryken          3-11      -8    -6          -1.10
   327 A Lake Braddock           6-10      -4    -3          n/a  
   329 N Bishop O'Connell        4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.65
   401 H Episcopal HS            9-15      -6     8          n/a  
   402 H John Paul the Great    18- 9       9     0          n/a  
   405 H Flint Hill             15- 8       7     3    +      3.20
   408 H Woodberry Forest        4-12      -8    -4          n/a  
   411 A Worcester Prep         14- 9       5     2    +      2.44
   412 A Salisbury              20- 3      17    24           0.00
   417 A Covenant               10- 9       1   -10          n/a  
   424 A The Heights             9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.23
   426 A Calverton               6-12      -6    -5          -0.62
   429 A St James               13- 9       4     3           0.45
   501 A Trinity Episcopal      16- 4      12     8          n/a  
   502 H Mercersburg Academy    17- 6      11    10           0.00
   505 H St Maria Goretti       13- 2      11    14           0.00
   507 H The Heights             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.19
   510 A Woodberry Forest        4-17     -13    -6          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Episcopal HS            9-15      -6     8    ---        
   329 N Bishop O'Connell        4-15     -11    -5    --    -4.65
   308 A Georgetown Prep         3-16     -13    -7    -          
   408 H Woodberry Forest        4-12      -8    -4    -          
   507 H The Heights             6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.19
   510 A Woodberry Forest        4-17     -13    -6    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H John Paul the Great    18- 9       9     0    +++        
   417 A Covenant               10- 9       1   -10    +++        
   424 A The Heights             9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.23
   405 H Flint Hill             15- 8       7     3    +      3.20
   411 A Worcester Prep         14- 9       5     2    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.35 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.47 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/