Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Schiffert       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5318146    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (15- 5, 93.4)     7-10   
 411 H St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 74.3)    12- 6   
 416 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   (10- 9, 88.4)     9-10  o
 419 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 87.0)    22- 4   
 423 H Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 5, 88.1)     6- 5   
 425 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 82.7)     4- 6   
 426 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 68.2)    19- 6   
 428 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 80.9)    12- 9   
 430 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 73.1)    18- 3   
 501 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 80.3)    16- 6   
 502 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.1)    18- 4   
 509 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 74.9)    17- 5   
 510 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 88.6)     8- 6   
 512 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (15- 4, 95.3)    10-14   
 514 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.6)    16- 6   
 516 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 91.6)    10-11   
 520 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 74.9)    16- 4   
 522 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 88.6)     6- 5   
 527 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (15- 5, 93.4)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Hamburg                 7-10      -3    -3           0.13
   411 H St Francis             12- 6       6    16    --    -4.00
   416 A Nichols                 9-10  o   -1     0          -0.53
   419 H Salamanca              22- 4      18     3    +++    6.68
   423 H Iroquois Central        6- 5       1     2          -1.17
   425 A West Seneca East        4- 6      -2     5    ---   -7.21
   426 A Grand Island           19- 6      13    19           0.00
   428 H Silver Creek           12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.38
   430 H Williamsville South    18- 3      15    17           0.00
   501 A Williamsville North    16- 6      10     7    +      2.33
   502 A North Tonawanda        18- 4      14    17           0.00
   509 H Lake Shore Central     17- 5      12    15           0.00
   510 A Williamsville East      8- 6       2     0    +      2.66
   512 A Orchard Park           10-14      -4    -7    +      3.31
   514 H Sweet Home             16- 6      10    13           0.00
   516 H Clarence               10-11      -1    -1           0.34
   520 H Lake Shore Central     16- 4      12    15           0.00
   522 H Williamsville East      6- 5       1     1          -0.67
   527 N Hamburg                 9-10      -1    -4    +      3.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A West Seneca East        4- 6      -2     5    ---   -7.21
   428 H Silver Creek           12- 9       3     9    ---   -6.38
   411 H St Francis             12- 6       6    16    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Salamanca              22- 4      18     3    +++    6.68
   501 A Williamsville North    16- 6      10     7    +      2.33
   510 A Williamsville East      8- 6       2     0    +      2.66
   512 A Orchard Park           10-14      -4    -7    +      3.31
   527 N Hamburg                 9-10      -1    -4    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.12 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.29 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/