Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4636459    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 9-10, 68.5)    14- 1   
 411 H Newtown                CT L          (14- 5, 85.9)     5- 9   
 417 A Joel Barlow            CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)     5- 6   
 419 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 84.2)     6- 9   
 421 A Weston                 CT S          (10- 9, 80.5)     6- 7  o
 424 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (11- 9, 81.6)    10- 2   
 426 H John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (11- 7, 92.4)     8-11   
 429 H Brookfield             CT S          (16- 7, 84.5)     8- 9   
 501 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 6-11, 72.8)    12- 3   
 505 H Simsbury               CT L          (18- 2, 90.4)     8- 9 6o
 508 A Stratford              CT M          (10-10, 72.2)    14- 6   
 509 A New Milford            CT L          (15- 5, 85.3)     9- 8   
 513 H Pomperaug              CT M          ( 6-12, 71.4)    10- 4   
 515 H Norwalk                CT L          ( 2-14, 73.8)     9- 4   
 517 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          (10- 8, 82.3)     9- 6   
 520 A Guilford               CT M          (11- 9, 82.6)     8- 5   
 523 N New Milford            CT L          (15- 5, 85.3)     7-13   
 604 A Foran                  CT M          (11- 6, 74.6)    16- 6   
 607 A New Canaan             CT M          (17- 5, 93.9)     1-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   14- 1      13    14           0.00
   411 H Newtown                 5- 9      -4    -2          -1.06
   417 A Joel Barlow             5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.52
   419 A William Floyd           6- 9      -3    -2          n/a  
   421 A Weston                  6- 7  o   -1     0          -1.83
   424 A Daniel Hand-Madison    10- 2       8     0    +++    8.28
   426 H John Jay-Cross River    8-11      -3    -9          n/a  
   429 H Brookfield              8- 9      -1    -1           0.47
   501 H Bethel                 12- 3       9    10          -1.00
   505 H Simsbury                8- 9 6o   -1    -7    +++    6.36
   508 A Stratford              14- 6       8     9          -1.07
   509 A New Milford             9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.01
   513 H Pomperaug              10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   515 H Norwalk                 9- 4       5     9    --    -4.23
   517 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   9- 6       3     0    +      2.28
   520 A Guilford                8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.31
   523 N New Milford             7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.83
   604 A Foran                  16- 6      10     6    +      3.34
   607 A New Canaan              1-16     -15   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Pomperaug              10- 4       6    11    --    -4.00
   515 H Norwalk                 9- 4       5     9    --    -4.23
   523 N New Milford             7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Daniel Hand-Madison    10- 2       8     0    +++    8.28
   426 H John Jay-Cross River    8-11      -3    -9    +++        
   505 H Simsbury                8- 9 6o   -1    -7    +++    6.36
   509 A New Milford             9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.01
   520 A Guilford                8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.31
   417 A Joel Barlow             5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.52
   517 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   9- 6       3     0    +      2.28
   604 A Foran                  16- 6      10     6    +      3.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.15 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.69 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/