Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-02          
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Steve Hopkinson       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6695404    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 N Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 7, 82.9)     6- 7  o
 311 H First Flight           NC    Indep   ( 5- 4, 78.3)     9-11   
 313 A Sanderson              NC    Conf-04 ( 2-14, 68.7)    12- 2   
 314 A Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 9- 8, 77.0)    15- 9   
 327 A Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 (10- 7, 77.9)    13- 5   
 328 H Northside              NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 9, 73.0)    19- 9   
 331 H Anthony Wayne          OH 2  Cent-NW ( 8-11, 76.4)    11-10   
 402 H South Brunswick        NC    Conf-01 ( 0-13, 56.6)    23- 0   
 404 A Parrott Academy        NC    NCISAA  ( 7- 6, 79.7)    15- 8   
 408 A J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 7, 74.7)    17- 5   
 411 H Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 9- 8, 77.0)    14-10   
 422 A Northside              NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 9, 73.0)    11- 7   
 424 H Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 (10- 7, 77.9)    12-11   
 501 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 83.8)     7-11   
 502 H J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 7, 74.7)    15- 6   
 509 H Wakefield              NC    Conf-04 (10- 6, 86.9)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 N Wilmington New Hanover  6- 7  o   -1     0          -1.04
   311 H First Flight            9-11      -2     5    ---   -7.28
   313 A Sanderson              12- 2      10    13           0.00
   314 A Havelock               15- 9       6     5           0.71
   327 A Jacksonville           13- 5       8     4    +      3.63
   328 H Northside              19- 9      10    10           0.00
   331 H Anthony Wayne          11-10       1     7          n/a  
   402 H South Brunswick        23- 0      23    26           0.00
   404 A Parrott Academy        15- 8       7     2          n/a  
   408 A J.H. Rose              17- 5      12     7    +      2.41
   411 H Havelock               14-10       4     6    -     -2.53
   422 A Northside              11- 7       4     9    --    -5.35
   424 H Jacksonville           12-11       1     5    --    -4.62
   501 H Wilmington Ashley       7-11      -4     0    -     -3.81
   502 H J.H. Rose              15- 6       9     8           0.16
   509 H Wakefield               3-17     -14    -3    ---   -6.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H First Flight            9-11      -2     5    ---   -7.28
   331 H Anthony Wayne          11-10       1     7    ---        
   509 H Wakefield               3-17     -14    -3    ---   -6.64
   422 A Northside              11- 7       4     9    --    -5.35
   424 H Jacksonville           12-11       1     5    --    -4.62
   411 H Havelock               14-10       4     6    -     -2.53
   501 H Wilmington Ashley       7-11      -4     0    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Parrott Academy        15- 8       7     2    ++         
   327 A Jacksonville           13- 5       8     4    +      3.63
   408 A J.H. Rose              17- 5      12     7    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.94 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.34 Local SOS Rank.............    72
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/