Conf =  MIDWEST                   Region = PA    Div1-S1          
   Nickname = A Blue Devils          Coach  =   Mike Ermer            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.7236176    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (14- 7, 91.6)    11- 7   
 324 H North Allegheny        PA    Div1-S2 (13- 7, 97.3)     7- 6   
 328 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (18- 4, 96.3)     2-11   
 329 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (18- 4, 95.7)     7-10   
 331 A Shady Side Academy     PA    Div1-S2 (15- 5, 99.9)     5- 4   
 402 H Bethel Park            PA    Div1-S1 ( 9- 9, 91.3)    12- 4   
 407 A Sewickley Academy      PA    Div1-S1 ( 9- 8, 93.7)     5- 4   
 409 A Central Catholic       PA    Div1-S1 ( 4- 9, 86.7)    12- 8   
 411 A Worthington Kilbourne  OH 1  Central (14- 6, 95.8)     3- 9   
 412 A Dublin Jerome          OH 1  Central (17- 5, 96.1)     2-15   
 414 H Hampton                PA    Div1-S2 ( 9- 7, 93.7)    10- 2   
 417 A Seneca Valley          PA    Div1-S2 ( 3-12, 88.5)     5- 7   
 421 H Franklin Regional      PA    Div1-S2 ( 8- 6, 94.4)     5- 7   
 424 H Peters Township        PA    Div1-S1 (11- 9, 94.4)     8- 4   
 430 A Trinity Area           PA    Div1-S1 ( 2-16, 76.4)    18- 1   
 502 N Cleveland St Ignatius  OH 1  NE-NW   (11- 6, 90.0)     6-12   
 503 N Olentangy HS           OH 1  Central (16- 5, 92.7)     5- 9   
 507 H Upper St Clair         PA    Div1-S1 (15- 3, 98.6)    10- 9   
 514 H Fox Chapel             PA    Div1-S2 (13- 4, 94.5)    15- 5   
 519 H North Allegheny        PA    Div1-S2 (13- 7, 97.3)    10- 9 2o
 523 N Shady Side Academy     PA    Div1-S2 (15- 5, 99.9)     2- 7   
 528 N Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Indep   (12- 9, 86.9)    19- 6   
 531 A Shady Side Academy     PA    Div1-S2 (15- 5, 99.9)     7- 6   
 603 N Penncrest              PA    Centrl  (25- 1, 99.9)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Ephrata                11- 7       4     5          n/a  
   324 H North Allegheny         7- 6       1     0           1.56
   328 A Carlisle                2-11      -9    -1          n/a  
   329 A Hempfield               7-10      -3     0          n/a  
   331 A Shady Side Academy      5- 4       1    -4    ++     5.80
   402 H Bethel Park            12- 4       8     5    +      2.49
   407 A Sewickley Academy       5- 4       1     1          -0.36
   409 A Central Catholic       12- 8       4     8    --    -4.39
   411 A Worthington Kilbourne   3- 9      -6     0          n/a  
   412 A Dublin Jerome           2-15     -13    -1          n/a  
   414 H Hampton                10- 2       8     3    ++     4.94
   417 A Seneca Valley           5- 7      -2     6    ---   -8.55
   421 H Franklin Regional       5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.38
   424 H Peters Township         8- 4       4     2           1.59
   430 A Trinity Area           18- 1      17    18           0.00
   502 N Cleveland St Ignatius   6-12      -6     5          n/a  
   503 N Olentangy HS            5- 9      -4     3          n/a  
   507 H Upper St Clair         10- 9       1    -1    +      2.81
   514 H Fox Chapel             15- 5      10     2    +++    7.72
   519 H North Allegheny        10- 9 2o    1     0           1.56
   523 N Shady Side Academy      2- 7      -5    -3          -1.03
   528 N Erie Cathedral Prep    19- 6      13     9           0.93
   531 A Shady Side Academy      7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.80
   603 N Penncrest              10-15      -5    -3          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Carlisle                2-11      -9    -1    ---        
   412 A Dublin Jerome           2-15     -13    -1    ---        
   417 A Seneca Valley           5- 7      -2     6    ---   -8.55
   502 N Cleveland St Ignatius   6-12      -6     5    ---        
   503 N Olentangy HS            5- 9      -4     3    ---        
   409 A Central Catholic       12- 8       4     8    --    -4.39
   411 A Worthington Kilbourne   3- 9      -6     0    --         
   421 H Franklin Regional       5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.38
   329 A Hempfield               7-10      -3     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Fox Chapel             15- 5      10     2    +++    7.72
   331 A Shady Side Academy      5- 4       1    -4    ++     5.80
   414 H Hampton                10- 2       8     3    ++     4.94
   531 A Shady Side Academy      7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.80
   402 H Bethel Park            12- 4       8     5    +      2.49
   507 H Upper St Clair         10- 9       1    -1    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.93 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.74 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   20.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/