Conf =  Waterman                  Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Cougars              Coach  =   Paul Edwards          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7008667    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ 1  South   (10-12, 82.3)    16- 5   
 329 H Newark Academy         NJ    Grp-B   ( 7-10, 77.7)    11- 7   
 401 H Columbia               NJ 4  North   (12- 7, 84.1)     3- 4 2o
 403 H Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (16- 4, 97.8)     5-12   
 405 H Cranford               NJ 2  South   (10-11, 82.7)    10- 7   
 407 A St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   ( 9-10, 85.3)    11-10   
 408 A West Essex Regional    NJ 1  North   (12- 8, 88.2)     4- 7   
 417 A Glen Ridge             NJ 1  North   (11- 9, 87.7)     3- 4   
 419 H Millburn               NJ 3  North   ( 4-13, 79.1)     8- 5   
 422 H Bernards               NJ 1  North   (12- 9, 85.9)    12- 8   
 424 H Montclair              NJ 4  North   ( 7-12, 84.9)    10- 9   
 426 A Caldwell               NJ 1  North   (11-10, 84.2)     8- 9 2o
 428 H Pennington             NJ    Private ( 4-11, 67.0)    15- 2   
 501 H Morristown             NJ 3  North   (11-10, 87.4)     5-13   
 503 H Verona                 NJ 1  North   ( 3-14, 70.2)    14- 2   
 505 A Princeton Day          NJ    Private (13- 3, 87.6)    10-11   
 506 A Livingston             NJ 4  North   (16- 5, 88.8)     5-17   
 513 A Madison                NJ 1  North   ( 5-14, 81.3)    11- 4   
 515 H Holmdel                NJ 1  South   ( 9- 8, 79.4)     9- 1   
 520 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 7- 8, 75.1)    15- 2   
 522 A Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   (14- 5, 92.1)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H A.L.Johnson-Clark      16- 5      11     4    ++     5.34
   329 H Newark Academy         11- 7       4     9    --    -5.28
   401 H Columbia                3- 4 2o   -1     2    -     -3.83
   403 H Seton Hall Prep         5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   405 H Cranford               10- 7       3     4          -1.22
   407 A St Peter's Prep        11-10       1    -1    +      2.35
   408 A West Essex Regional     4- 7      -3    -4           1.22
   417 A Glen Ridge              3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.75
   419 H Millburn                8- 5       3     7    --    -4.78
   422 H Bernards               12- 8       4     0    +      3.00
   424 H Montclair              10- 9       1     2          -1.03
   426 A Caldwell                8- 9 2o   -1     0          -0.73
   428 H Pennington             15- 2      13    19           0.00
   501 H Morristown              5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.58
   503 H Verona                 14- 2      12    16           0.00
   505 A Princeton Day          10-11      -1    -3    +      2.68
   506 A Livingston              5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.18
   513 A Madison                11- 4       7     2    ++     4.33
   515 H Holmdel                 9- 1       8     7           0.49
   520 H St Rose Belmar         15- 2      13    11           0.00
   522 A Pingry                  5-13      -8    -8           0.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Morristown              5-13      -8     0    ---   -7.58
   329 H Newark Academy         11- 7       4     9    --    -5.28
   419 H Millburn                8- 5       3     7    --    -4.78
   506 A Livingston              5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.18
   401 H Columbia                3- 4 2o   -1     2    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H A.L.Johnson-Clark      16- 5      11     4    ++     5.34
   513 A Madison                11- 4       7     2    ++     4.33
   403 H Seton Hall Prep         5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   407 A St Peter's Prep        11-10       1    -1    +      2.35
   417 A Glen Ridge              3- 4      -1    -3    +      2.75
   422 H Bernards               12- 8       4     0    +      3.00
   505 A Princeton Day          10-11      -1    -3    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.45 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.09 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    99
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    79
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/