Conf = WestMass Region = MA 2 Wheel Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Russ MooneyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.5014648 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 N Cathedral Springfield MA 2 Valley (12- 8, 80.9) 6- 5 404 H West Springfield MA 2 Valley ( 3-15, 67.4) 18- 2 406 N Northampton MA 2 Valley ( 7-14, 79.0) 6- 4 408 A East Longmeadow MA 2 Valley ( 3-15, 74.4) 11- 1 410 H Amherst-Pelham MA 2 Wheel ( 6-12, 77.4) 13- 5 414 A Longmeadow MA 2 Wheel (21- 2, 99.9) 2-11 417 H South Hadley MA 2 Wheel (13- 6, 89.0) 14-16 419 A Algonquin MA 2 MidWacA (13- 9, 91.1) 5- 6 o 422 H Conard-West Hartford CT L ( 6-11, 76.9) 6- 3 424 A Agawam MA 2 Valley (14- 5, 84.4) 4- 6 428 A Westfield MA 2 Wheel (17- 4, 93.3) 9- 6 503 A Northampton MA 2 Valley ( 7-14, 79.0) 7- 6 o 505 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 Cathlc (19- 2, 99.9) 5-14 507 A Amherst-Pelham MA 2 Wheel ( 6-12, 77.4) 12- 8 509 H Shrewsbury MA 2 MidWacA (20- 5, 94.7) 8- 7 512 H Longmeadow MA 2 Wheel (21- 2, 99.9) 5-12 518 A South Hadley MA 2 Wheel (13- 6, 89.0) 9-10 o 519 H Westfield MA 2 Wheel (17- 4, 93.3) 6- 7 527 A Agawam MA 2 Valley (14- 5, 84.4) 8- 4 530 A Shrewsbury MA 2 MidWacA (20- 5, 94.7) 5- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 N Cathedral Springfield 6- 5 1 5 -- -4.69 404 H West Springfield 18- 2 16 19 0.00 406 N Northampton 6- 4 2 7 -- -5.57 408 A East Longmeadow 11- 1 10 11 0.00 410 H Amherst-Pelham 13- 5 8 9 -1.78 414 A Longmeadow 2-11 -9 -13 1.00 417 H South Hadley 14-16 -2 -1 -0.21 419 A Algonquin 5- 6 o -1 -5 n/a 422 H Conard-West Hartford 6- 3 3 10 n/a 424 A Agawam 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.58 428 A Westfield 9- 6 3 -7 +++ 10.31 503 A Northampton 7- 6 o 1 6 -- -5.96 505 A St Johns Shrewsbury 5-14 -9 -14 n/a 507 A Amherst-Pelham 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.55 509 H Shrewsbury 8- 7 1 -7 n/a 512 H Longmeadow 5-12 -7 -12 + 3.00 518 A South Hadley 9-10 o -1 -3 + 2.02 519 H Westfield 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 5.09 527 A Agawam 8- 4 4 1 + 2.42 530 A Shrewsbury 5- 9 -4 -8 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Conard-West Hartford 6- 3 3 10 --- 401 N Cathedral Springfield 6- 5 1 5 -- -4.69 406 N Northampton 6- 4 2 7 -- -5.57 503 A Northampton 7- 6 o 1 6 -- -5.96 507 A Amherst-Pelham 12- 8 4 8 -- -4.55 424 A Agawam 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Westfield 9- 6 3 -7 +++ 10.31 509 H Shrewsbury 8- 7 1 -7 +++ 419 A Algonquin 5- 6 o -1 -5 ++ 519 H Westfield 6- 7 -1 -6 ++ 5.09 530 A Shrewsbury 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 512 H Longmeadow 5-12 -7 -12 + 3.00 518 A South Hadley 9-10 o -1 -3 + 2.02 527 A Agawam 8- 4 4 1 + 2.42/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.57 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 70.67 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3