Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2  Wheel            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5014648    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 N Cathedral Springfield  MA 2  Valley  (12- 8, 80.9)     6- 5   
 404 H West Springfield       MA 2  Valley  ( 3-15, 67.4)    18- 2   
 406 N Northampton            MA 2  Valley  ( 7-14, 79.0)     6- 4   
 408 A East Longmeadow        MA 2  Valley  ( 3-15, 74.4)    11- 1   
 410 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2  Wheel   ( 6-12, 77.4)    13- 5   
 414 A Longmeadow             MA 2  Wheel   (21- 2, 99.9)     2-11   
 417 H South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (13- 6, 89.0)    14-16   
 419 A Algonquin              MA 2  MidWacA (13- 9, 91.1)     5- 6  o
 422 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 6-11, 76.9)     6- 3   
 424 A Agawam                 MA 2  Valley  (14- 5, 84.4)     4- 6   
 428 A Westfield              MA 2  Wheel   (17- 4, 93.3)     9- 6   
 503 A Northampton            MA 2  Valley  ( 7-14, 79.0)     7- 6  o
 505 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2  Cathlc  (19- 2, 99.9)     5-14   
 507 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2  Wheel   ( 6-12, 77.4)    12- 8   
 509 H Shrewsbury             MA 2  MidWacA (20- 5, 94.7)     8- 7   
 512 H Longmeadow             MA 2  Wheel   (21- 2, 99.9)     5-12   
 518 A South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (13- 6, 89.0)     9-10  o
 519 H Westfield              MA 2  Wheel   (17- 4, 93.3)     6- 7   
 527 A Agawam                 MA 2  Valley  (14- 5, 84.4)     8- 4   
 530 A Shrewsbury             MA 2  MidWacA (20- 5, 94.7)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Cathedral Springfield   6- 5       1     5    --    -4.69
   404 H West Springfield       18- 2      16    19           0.00
   406 N Northampton             6- 4       2     7    --    -5.57
   408 A East Longmeadow        11- 1      10    11           0.00
   410 H Amherst-Pelham         13- 5       8     9          -1.78
   414 A Longmeadow              2-11      -9   -13           1.00
   417 H South Hadley           14-16      -2    -1          -0.21
   419 A Algonquin               5- 6  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   422 H Conard-West Hartford    6- 3       3    10          n/a  
   424 A Agawam                  4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.58
   428 A Westfield               9- 6       3    -7    +++   10.31
   503 A Northampton             7- 6  o    1     6    --    -5.96
   505 A St Johns Shrewsbury     5-14      -9   -14          n/a  
   507 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 8       4     8    --    -4.55
   509 H Shrewsbury              8- 7       1    -7          n/a  
   512 H Longmeadow              5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   518 A South Hadley            9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.02
   519 H Westfield               6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.09
   527 A Agawam                  8- 4       4     1    +      2.42
   530 A Shrewsbury              5- 9      -4    -8          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Conard-West Hartford    6- 3       3    10    ---        
   401 N Cathedral Springfield   6- 5       1     5    --    -4.69
   406 N Northampton             6- 4       2     7    --    -5.57
   503 A Northampton             7- 6  o    1     6    --    -5.96
   507 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 8       4     8    --    -4.55
   424 A Agawam                  4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Westfield               9- 6       3    -7    +++   10.31
   509 H Shrewsbury              8- 7       1    -7    +++        
   419 A Algonquin               5- 6  o   -1    -5    ++         
   519 H Westfield               6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.09
   530 A Shrewsbury              5- 9      -4    -8    ++         
   512 H Longmeadow              5-12      -7   -12    +      3.00
   518 A South Hadley            9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.02
   527 A Agawam                  8- 4       4     1    +      2.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.57 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.67 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/