Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Gordy Luthart         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.0099182    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-16, 61.3)    14- 6   
 402 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 77.8)     4-14   
 404 H Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 63.5)    16-10   
 405 N Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (17- 2, 91.9)     4-21   
 408 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 74.7)     5-13   
 410 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 5, 82.8)     4-21   
 422 A Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 72.3)    15-16   
 425 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 66.8)    15-11   
 426 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 63.5)    13- 7   
 429 H Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 64.6)    12-15   
 501 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 87.0)     9-15   
 503 A Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-16, 61.3)    23-11   
 505 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 91.6)     5-23   
 507 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 80.9)     8-19   
 509 A Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 64.6)    13- 4   
 512 A Newark                 NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 69.8)    16-11   
 516 A Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-15, 64.6)    12-13  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Batavia                14- 6       8    11          n/a  
   402 H Amherst Central         4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.92
   404 H Wilson Central         16-10       6     9    -     -3.28
   405 N Palmyra-Macedon         4-21     -17   -20          n/a  
   408 A Eden                    5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.76
   410 H East Aurora             4-21     -17   -10           0.00
   422 A Gowanda Central        15-16      -1    -1           0.89
   425 A Lockport               15-11       4     3           0.41
   426 A Wilson Central         13- 7       6     6          -0.95
   429 H Lew-Port               12-15      -3     8    ---  -11.18
   501 H Salamanca               9-15      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   503 A Batavia                23-11      12     9          n/a  
   505 A Akron                   5-23     -18   -21           0.00
   507 H Silver Creek            8-19     -11    -8          -1.85
   509 A Lew-Port               13- 4       9     5    +      3.15
   512 A Newark                 16-11       5     0          n/a  
   516 A Lew-Port               12-13  o   -1     5    ---   -6.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Lew-Port               12-15      -3     8    ---  -11.18
   516 A Lew-Port               12-13  o   -1     5    ---   -6.85
   402 H Amherst Central         4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.92
   401 H Batavia                14- 6       8    11    -          
   404 H Wilson Central         16-10       6     9    -     -3.28
   408 A Eden                    5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Salamanca               9-15      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   512 A Newark                 16-11       5     0    ++         
   509 A Lew-Port               13- 4       9     5    +      3.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.59 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.06 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/