Conf =  CathCon                   Region = MA 2  North            
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Matt O'Neil           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3898239    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Burlington             MA 2  North   ( 8-10, 80.2)     4- 6   
 402 H Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 5-13, 74.8)     8- 5   
 404 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   (18- 4, 96.1)     2- 9   
 408 H Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (11- 9, 90.0)     4- 6   
 411 A Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (11- 9, 89.8)     8-13   
 415 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 9-13, 87.7)     5-13   
 417 H Beverly                MA 2  North   (14- 9, 86.9)     7-12   
 419 H Woburn                 MA 1  North   ( 9-10, 81.3)     7- 5   
 422 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   ( 6-14, 78.3)     3-13   
 424 A Wakefield              MA 2  North   (15- 5, 88.4)     4-15   
 429 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (11- 9, 90.0)     4-11   
 501 H Arlington Catholic     MA 3  CenEast (14- 6, 84.3)    10- 9   
 503 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   (18- 4, 96.1)     3-16   
 506 H Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (11- 9, 89.8)     5-15   
 508 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 9-13, 87.7)     5-13   
 515 H Medford                MA 1  North   (11-10, 76.8)    10- 6   
 519 A Danvers                MA 2  North   (10- 9, 83.4)     9- 6   
 521 A Central Catholic       MA 1  North   (13- 7, 84.6)     9-10   
 528 H Shawsheen Valley RVT   MA 2  North   (10-11, 71.2)    15- 3   
 601 A Melrose                MA 2  North   (16- 4, 87.0)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Burlington              4- 6      -2    -1          -0.29
   402 H Gloucester              8- 5       3     4          -1.90
   404 H Xaverian Bros           2- 9      -7   -16    +      3.00
   408 H Boston College HS       4- 6      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   411 A Catholic Memorial       8-13      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   415 H St Johns Prep Danvers   5-13      -8    -7          -0.01
   417 H Beverly                 7-12      -5    -7    +      2.15
   419 H Woburn                  7- 5       2    -1    +      3.59
   422 A Chelmsford              3-13     -10     0    ---  -10.28
   424 A Wakefield               4-15     -11    -9          -0.15
   429 A Boston College HS       4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   501 H Arlington Catholic     10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.62
   503 A Xaverian Bros           3-16     -13   -17           0.00
   506 H Catholic Memorial       5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   508 A St Johns Prep Danvers   5-13      -8    -9           1.17
   515 H Medford                10- 6       4     2           1.12
   519 A Danvers                 9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.84
   521 A Central Catholic        9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.11
   528 H Shawsheen Valley RVT   15- 3      12     8           1.50
   601 A Melrose                 7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Chelmsford              3-13     -10     0    ---  -10.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Boston College HS       4- 6      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   519 A Danvers                 9- 6       3    -4    +++    7.84
   411 A Catholic Memorial       8-13      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   501 H Arlington Catholic     10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.62
   521 A Central Catholic        9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.11
   601 A Melrose                 7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.44
   404 H Xaverian Bros           2- 9      -7   -16    +      3.00
   417 H Beverly                 7-12      -5    -7    +      2.15
   419 H Woburn                  7- 5       2    -1    +      3.59
   429 A Boston College HS       4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.12 Local Power Rank...........    77
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.77 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    75
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    79
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   114
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/