Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Jason Lesh            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   68.3970032    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.1)     5- 6   
 327 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 66.8)     9-10  o
 328 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 80.3)     6-20   
 402 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 5, 82.8)     2-16   
 404 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 86.2)     8-20   
 407 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 68.2)     4-10   
 408 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 77.8)     4-19   
 410 H Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6- 6, 72.3)    11-20   
 423 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (15- 3, 91.6)     4-26   
 425 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 63.5)     9-11   
 429 A Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 71.6)    15-12   
 501 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 74.7)     4- 6   
 505 H Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 63.5)    17- 9   
 506 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 87.0)     5-22   
 509 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 71.6)     4-13   
 515 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 7, 80.9)     6-18   
 516 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 71.6)    13-12  o
 520 A Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (12- 3, 87.0)     6-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H North Tonawanda         5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.36
   327 H Lockport                9-10  o   -1    -1           0.09
   328 H Williamsville North     6-20     -14   -14           0.00
   402 H East Aurora             2-16     -14   -17           0.00
   404 H Lancaster               8-20     -12   -20           0.00
   407 H Grand Island            4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.53
   408 A Amherst Central         4-19     -15   -14           0.00
   410 H Gowanda Central        11-20      -9    -6    -     -2.43
   423 A Akron                   4-26     -22   -28           0.00
   425 A Wilson Central          9-11      -2     0          -1.93
   429 A Medina                 15-12       3    -8    +++   11.18
   501 A Eden                    4- 6      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   505 H Wilson Central         17- 9       8     2    ++     5.74
   506 A Salamanca               5-22     -17   -23           0.00
   509 H Medina                  4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.15
   515 H Silver Creek            6-18     -12   -15           0.00
   516 H Medina                 13-12  o    1    -5    +++    6.85
   520 A Salamanca               6-20     -14   -23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Grand Island            4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.53
   410 H Gowanda Central        11-20      -9    -6    -     -2.43
   509 H Medina                  4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Medina                 15-12       3    -8    +++   11.18
   501 A Eden                    4- 6      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   516 H Medina                 13-12  o    1    -5    +++    6.85
   505 H Wilson Central         17- 9       8     2    ++     5.74
   321 H North Tonawanda         5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.57 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.43 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/