Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Richard Vickroy       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2198868    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (14- 4, 92.8)     5-15   
 325 H Northern York          PA    Mid 1   (10- 7, 85.2)     8- 9  o
 401 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 9, 84.8)     6- 7   
 403 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (20- 4, 98.5)     2-21   
 405 A Spring Grove           PA    York 1  ( 5-13, 79.8)     8- 4   
 408 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (18- 4, 96.3)     2-11   
 410 H State College          PA    Mid 1   ( 8-11, 84.6)     8- 2   
 412 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 9, 83.2)     4- 7   
 414 A Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 2-15, 70.4)    14- 4   
 417 H Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 8- 8, 83.7)    10- 7   
 421 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.0)    18- 3   
 422 A Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 1-17, 66.0)    17- 3   
 424 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (10- 6, 86.5)     3- 4   
 429 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (10- 8, 87.1)     4-13   
 502 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (11- 8, 85.6)     6- 7   
 506 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 2-14, 73.1)    17- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Trinity HS              5-15     -10    -8          -1.61
   325 H Northern York           8- 9  o   -1     0          -0.20
   401 H Palmyra                 6- 7      -1     0          -0.61
   403 A Hershey                 2-21     -19   -15           0.00
   405 A Spring Grove            8- 4       4     2           1.08
   408 H Carlisle                2-11      -9   -11           1.00
   410 H State College           8- 2       6     0    +++    6.16
   412 H Elizabethtown           4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.25
   414 A Mechanicsburg          14- 4      10    12           0.00
   417 H Chambersburg           10- 7       3     0    +      2.32
   421 H Cedar Crest            18- 3      15     7    +      2.62
   422 A Central Dauphin East   17- 3      14    16           0.00
   424 H Central Dauphin         3- 4      -1    -2           1.11
   429 A Cumberland Valley       4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.58
   502 A Penn Manor              6- 7      -1    -2           1.86
   506 H Bishop McDevitt        17- 4      13    11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Elizabethtown           4- 7      -3     1    --    -4.25
   429 A Cumberland Valley       4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H State College           8- 2       6     0    +++    6.16
   417 H Chambersburg           10- 7       3     0    +      2.32
   421 H Cedar Crest            18- 3      15     7    +      2.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.56 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.77 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/