Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Pioneers             Coach  =   Dave Warmingham       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7381134    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 2-14, 73.1)    12- 2   
 325 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 69.0)    15- 5   
 327 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (20- 4, 97.4)     3-17   
 331 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 73.5)    16- 7   
 403 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 72.4)    15- 4   
 407 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.9)     3- 6   
 410 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.0)    13-10   
 411 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (11- 8, 85.6)     9-10  o
 416 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 9, 84.8)     4- 9   
 421 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (14- 7, 91.6)     7- 8   
 422 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-16, 68.2)     6- 0   
 424 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 81.3)    12- 9   
 425 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (18- 4, 95.7)     5-11   
 428 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 69.0)    17- 3   
 502 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 9, 83.2)     7-12   
 505 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (20- 4, 98.5)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Bishop McDevitt        12- 2      10     9           0.26
   325 A Lancaster Mennonite    15- 5      10    13           0.00
   327 H Manheim Township        3-17     -14   -12           0.00
   331 H Lancaster Cou Day      16- 7       9    10          -1.00
   403 H Conestoga Valley       15- 4      11    12           0.00
   407 A Warwick                 3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.09
   410 H Cedar Crest            13-10       3     7    --    -4.51
   411 H Penn Manor              9-10  o   -1    -1           0.05
   416 H Palmyra                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.74
   421 H Ephrata                 7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.08
   422 A Garden Spot             6- 0       6    14    --    -4.00
   424 H Cocalico               12- 9       3     3          -0.21
   425 A Hempfield               5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   428 H Lancaster Mennonite    17- 3      14    15           0.00
   502 A Elizabethtown           7-12      -5     0    --    -4.70
   505 H Hershey                 3-11      -8   -13    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Cedar Crest            13-10       3     7    --    -4.51
   416 H Palmyra                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.74
   422 A Garden Spot             6- 0       6    14    --    -4.00
   502 A Elizabethtown           7-12      -5     0    --    -4.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Ephrata                 7- 8      -1    -7    +++    6.08
   425 A Hempfield               5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   407 A Warwick                 3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.09
   505 H Hershey                 3-11      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.69 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.32 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/