Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Blazers              Coach  =   Chris Schmehl         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.3899841    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 1-17, 66.0)    11- 3   
 325 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 83.7)     5-15   
 327 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 81.3)     3-14   
 401 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-16, 68.2)     8- 6   
 402 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.0)     1-17   
 404 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (18- 4, 95.7)     1-15   
 409 H Twin Valley            PA    Berks   ( 5-11, 76.7)     8-10   
 410 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (14- 7, 91.6)     3-19   
 414 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.9)     1-15   
 416 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 73.5)     6-15   
 417 A New Oxford             PA    York 1  ( 1-16, 69.1)     3-10   
 422 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (11- 8, 85.6)     3-17   
 424 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 72.4)     5-10   
 428 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 83.7)     3-17   
 501 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (20- 4, 97.4)     1-20   
 505 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 9, 83.2)     1-17   
 507 A Daniel Boone           PA    Berks   ( 1-16, 67.2)    12- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Central Dauphin East   11- 3       8     3    ++     4.19
   325 H Lampeter-Strasburg      5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   327 A Cocalico                3-14     -11   -13           0.00
   401 H Garden Spot             8- 6       2     1           0.34
   402 A Cedar Crest             1-17     -16    -8          -1.11
   404 A Hempfield               1-15     -14   -27           0.00
   409 H Twin Valley             8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.88
   410 H Ephrata                 3-19     -16   -21           0.00
   414 H Warwick                 1-15     -14   -19           0.00
   416 A Lancaster Cou Day       6-15      -9    -5    -     -3.60
   417 A New Oxford              3-10      -7     0    ---   -6.06
   422 H Penn Manor              3-17     -14   -15           0.00
   424 A Conestoga Valley        5-10      -5    -4          -0.72
   428 A Lampeter-Strasburg      3-17     -14   -15           0.00
   501 H Manheim Township        1-20     -19   -27           0.00
   505 A Elizabethtown           1-17     -16   -15           0.00
   507 A Daniel Boone           12- 6       6     0    ++     5.02

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A New Oxford              3-10      -7     0    ---   -6.06
   416 A Lancaster Cou Day       6-15      -9    -5    -     -3.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Central Dauphin East   11- 3       8     3    ++     4.19
   409 H Twin Valley             8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.88
   507 A Daniel Boone           12- 6       6     0    ++     5.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.97 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.91 Local SOS Rank.............    49
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/