Region = OH 1  SoWest           
   Nickname = H Firebirds            Coach  =   Dave Reed             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5636520    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Oak Hills              OH 1  SoWest  ( 5-11, 67.1)    20- 3   
 329 A Elder-Cincinnati       OH 1  SoWest  (11- 6, 87.6)    10-11   
 331 H Springboro             OH 1  SoWest  ( 6-11, 75.5)     9-11   
 402 H Miamisburg             OH 1  SoWest  ( 4-12, 66.6)    13- 3   
 404 H La Salle               OH 1  SoWest  ( 2-11, 66.0)    16- 1   
 405 A Hilliard Bradley       OH 1  Central (11- 9, 80.6)    11- 8   
 409 H Kings                  OH 2  SoWest  ( 5-12, 73.2)    16- 2   
 411 H Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  SoWest  (10-10, 88.5)     6-12   
 416 A Indian Hill            OH 2  SoWest  (11- 6, 86.5)     6-12   
 417 H Mariemont              OH 2  SoWest  (17- 2, 94.9)     4-14   
 425 A Lebanon                OH 4  SoWest  ( 9- 7, 93.6)    11- 7   
 429 H Bishop Fenwick         OH 2  SoWest  (11- 8, 79.4)     8- 3   
 430 A Summit Country Day     OH 2  SoWest  ( 7-12, 74.6)    10- 4   
 502 H Mason                  OH 1  SoWest  (11- 6, 91.3)     5-14   
 507 A Centerville            OH 1  SoWest  (11- 6, 82.5)    10- 7   
 509 H Sycamore               OH 1  SoWest  (10- 8, 84.3)    10- 6   
 514 H Loveland               OH 1  SoWest  (14- 5, 91.5)     7-13   
 517 A Lakota East            OH 1  SoWest  ( 9-10, 77.0)    14- 2   
 522 H Oak Hills              OH 1  SoWest  ( 5-11, 67.1)    17- 2   
 524 N Mason                  OH 1  SoWest  (11- 6, 91.3)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Oak Hills              20- 3      17    17           0.00
   329 A Elder-Cincinnati       10-11      -1    -4    +      3.82
   331 H Springboro              9-11      -2     9    ---  -11.52
   402 H Miamisburg             13- 3      10    18           0.00
   404 H La Salle               16- 1      15    19           0.00
   405 A Hilliard Bradley       11- 8       3     2           0.84
   409 H Kings                  16- 2      14    11           0.00
   411 H Archbishop Moeller      6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.57
   416 A Indian Hill             6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.24
   417 H Mariemont               4-14     -10    -9          -0.13
   425 A Lebanon                11- 7       4   -11          n/a  
   429 H Bishop Fenwick          8- 3       5     5          -0.67
   430 A Summit Country Day     10- 4       6     8    -     -2.19
   502 H Mason                   5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.72
   507 A Centerville            10- 7       3     0    +      2.76
   509 H Sycamore               10- 6       4     0    +      3.30
   514 H Loveland                7-13      -6    -6           0.41
   517 A Lakota East            14- 2      12     5    ++     4.19
   522 H Oak Hills              17- 2      15    17           0.00
   524 N Mason                   4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Springboro              9-11      -2     9    ---  -11.52
   411 H Archbishop Moeller      6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.57
   416 A Indian Hill             6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.24
   430 A Summit Country Day     10- 4       6     8    -     -2.19
   502 H Mason                   5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.72
   524 N Mason                   4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Lebanon                11- 7       4   -11    +++        
   517 A Lakota East            14- 2      12     5    ++     4.19
   329 A Elder-Cincinnati       10-11      -1    -4    +      3.82
   507 A Centerville            10- 7       3     0    +      2.76
   509 H Sycamore               10- 6       4     0    +      3.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.91 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.46 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/