Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Jeremy Adams          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1413574    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (20- 4, 98.5)     2-18   
 322 H Lewisburg              PA    CSNLL   (15- 1, 91.5)     3- 7   
 325 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.9)     6- 8   
 327 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (18- 4, 95.7)     0-13   
 328 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (10- 6, 86.5)    10-11   
 331 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (20- 4, 97.4)     3-24   
 405 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 9, 84.8)     7- 5   
 407 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 0-16, 68.2)    12- 3   
 408 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 72.4)    13- 6   
 411 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-10, 81.3)     6- 5   
 412 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 9, 83.6)     7- 4   
 416 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 6-12, 77.0)    14- 2   
 417 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (14- 7, 91.6)     7-19   
 421 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (14- 4, 92.8)     5-16   
 423 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-12, 73.5)    10- 4   
 425 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (11- 8, 85.6)     7-10   
 502 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 8- 8, 83.7)    12- 7   
 505 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 69.0)    17- 1   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Hershey                 2-18     -16   -16           0.00
   322 H Lewisburg               3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.50
   325 A Warwick                 6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.63
   327 H Hempfield               0-13     -13   -11           0.00
   328 A Central Dauphin        10-11      -1    -4    +      3.20
   331 A Manheim Township        3-24     -21   -15           0.00
   405 H Palmyra                 7- 5       2     0    +      2.80
   407 H Garden Spot            12- 3       9    15          -1.00
   408 A Conestoga Valley       13- 6       7     9    -     -2.90
   411 A Cocalico                6- 5       1     0           0.00
   412 A Lower Dauphin           7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.25
   416 H Cedar Crest            14- 2      12     6    +      3.03
   417 A Ephrata                 7-19     -12    -9          -0.71
   421 H Trinity HS              5-16     -11    -8          -1.20
   423 A Lancaster Cou Day      10- 4       6     8    -     -2.78
   425 H Penn Manor              7-10      -3    -1          -1.40
   502 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 7       5     0    ++     4.70
   505 H Lancaster Mennonite    17- 1      16    15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Conestoga Valley       13- 6       7     9    -     -2.90
   423 A Lancaster Cou Day      10- 4       6     8    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Warwick                 6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.63
   412 A Lower Dauphin           7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.25
   502 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 7       5     0    ++     4.70
   322 H Lewisburg               3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.50
   328 A Central Dauphin        10-11      -1    -4    +      3.20
   405 H Palmyra                 7- 5       2     0    +      2.80
   416 H Cedar Crest            14- 2      12     6    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.15 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.18 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/