Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Mark Farnsworth       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5804062    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 9- 8, 71.6)    10- 3   
 414 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (12- 5, 81.0)     6-11   
 417 A Montville              CT S          ( 0-14, 51.1)    14- 7   
 421 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          ( 3-13, 56.5)    15- 5   
 422 H Waterford              CT S          ( 5-11, 66.0)    11- 8   
 424 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          (14- 6, 79.6)    12-13   
 429 H Stonington             CT S          ( 9- 8, 75.5)     9- 5   
 503 A Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 9- 9, 69.2)    15- 5   
 506 H Bacon Academy          CT S          (11- 7, 75.4)    12- 9   
 508 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          ( 3-13, 56.5)    20- 3   
 510 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 4-11, 63.8)    16- 6   
 513 H Montville              CT S          ( 0-14, 51.1)    22- 2   
 515 A Waterford              CT S          ( 5-11, 66.0)     7- 6   
 517 H East Lyme              CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     4- 8   
 520 H Somers                 CT S          (16- 3, 83.5)     8-16   
 522 A Stonington             CT S          ( 9- 8, 75.5)    12- 9   
 528 N Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 9- 8, 71.6)     8- 7  o
 530 N East Lyme              CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     6-10   
 604 H Guilford               CT M          (11- 9, 82.6)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Fitch-Groton           10- 3       7     3    +      3.45
   414 A Hall-West Hartford      6-11      -5    -5           0.82
   417 A Montville              14- 7       7    24    -     -3.00
   421 A Saint Bernard/Wheeler  15- 5      10    18           0.00
   422 H Waterford              11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   424 H Northwest Catholic     12-13      -1    -2           1.75
   429 H Stonington              9- 5       4     1    +      2.64
   503 A Old Saybrook           15- 5      10     5    ++     4.09
   506 H Bacon Academy          12- 9       3     1           1.53
   508 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  20- 3      17    20           0.00
   510 A Woodstock Academy      16- 6      10    11           0.00
   513 H Montville              22- 2      20    25           0.00
   515 A Waterford               7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.14
   517 H East Lyme               4- 8      -4    -3          -0.24
   520 H Somers                  8-16      -8    -6          -1.39
   522 A Stonington             12- 9       3     0    +      3.33
   528 N Fitch-Groton            8- 7  o    1     4    -     -3.39
   530 N East Lyme               6-10      -4    -4           0.60
   604 H Guilford                4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Waterford              11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   515 A Waterford               7- 6       1     9    ---   -8.14
   417 A Montville              14- 7       7    24    -     -3.00
   528 N Fitch-Groton            8- 7  o    1     4    -     -3.39
   604 H Guilford                4-13      -9    -5    -     -3.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Old Saybrook           15- 5      10     5    ++     4.09
   410 A Fitch-Groton           10- 3       7     3    +      3.45
   429 H Stonington              9- 5       4     1    +      2.64
   522 A Stonington             12- 9       3     0    +      3.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.00 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.24 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
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