Conf =  Gibbs                     Region = NJ 1  North            
   Nickname = J Colts                Coach  =   Kevin Kelly           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.4141846    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Mahwah                 NJ 2  North   (11-10, 82.8)    10- 3   
 401 A Ridgewood              NJ 3  North   (15- 8, 93.2)     3- 5   
 403 H Madison                NJ 1  North   ( 5-14, 81.3)    11- 5   
 405 H Glen Rock              NJ 1  North   ( 3-14, 77.5)    10- 4   
 412 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (21- 3, 99.9)     3-11   
 417 H Morristown             NJ 3  North   (11-10, 87.4)     6- 3   
 419 H Wayne Valley           NJ 3  North   (14- 5, 86.5)     8- 5   
 424 H Mountain Lakes         NJ 1  North   (22- 4, 95.9)     6- 8   
 426 A Montclair              NJ 4  North   ( 7-12, 84.9)     9- 8   
 428 H West Morris Central    NJ 3  North   (11- 8, 89.6)     5- 4   
 503 A Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (19- 1, 99.5)     5- 8   
 506 H Madison                NJ 1  North   ( 5-14, 81.3)     6- 7   
 508 H Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   ( 8-10, 85.9)     8- 9   
 510 H Ramapo                 NJ 2  North   (12- 8, 87.5)    10- 6   
 512 H Glen Ridge             NJ 1  North   (11- 9, 87.7)     9- 7   
 515 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (16- 7, 93.2)     5- 6   
 517 H Pascack Hills          NJ 1  North   ( 6-13, 73.2)    13- 6   
 520 H Caldwell               NJ 1  North   (11-10, 84.2)     8- 4   
 522 H Glen Ridge             NJ 1  North   (11- 9, 87.7)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Mahwah                 10- 3       7     3    +      3.06
   401 A Ridgewood               3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.40
   403 H Madison                11- 5       6     8    -     -2.45
   405 H Glen Rock              10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   412 A Delbarton               3-11      -8   -13    +      2.00
   417 H Morristown              6- 3       3     2           0.61
   419 H Wayne Valley            8- 5       3     3          -0.23
   424 H Mountain Lakes          6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.15
   426 A Montclair               9- 8       1     1          -0.87
   428 H West Morris Central     5- 4       1     0           0.84
   503 A Bergen Catholic         5- 8      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   506 H Madison                 6- 7      -1     8    ---   -9.45
   508 H Don Bosco Prep          8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.87
   510 H Ramapo                 10- 6       4     2           1.74
   512 H Glen Ridge              9- 7       2     2          -0.03
   515 A Chatham                 5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.38
   517 H Pascack Hills          13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00
   520 H Caldwell                8- 4       4     5          -1.51
   522 H Glen Ridge              4- 5      -1     2    -     -3.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Madison                 6- 7      -1     8    ---   -9.45
   405 H Glen Rock              10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   508 H Don Bosco Prep          8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.87
   403 H Madison                11- 5       6     8    -     -2.45
   517 H Pascack Hills          13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00
   522 H Glen Ridge              4- 5      -1     2    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Bergen Catholic         5- 8      -3   -12    +++    7.00
   401 A Ridgewood               3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.40
   424 H Mountain Lakes          6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.15
   515 A Chatham                 5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.38
   326 A Mahwah                 10- 3       7     3    +      3.06
   412 A Delbarton               3-11      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.26 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.06 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    75
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/