Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8361816    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-06 (12- 7, 86.7)     5- 7   
 305 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-11, 84.9)    11- 7   
 308 N Calvert Hall           MD A  MIAA    (13- 6, 90.0)     1-22   
 311 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-06 (22- 0, 99.9)     6-15   
 314 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7)    11-15   
 321 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 80.6)    12- 5   
 327 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 83.6)     9- 5   
 328 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-05 ( 7-10, 76.4)    17- 5   
 331 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-05 ( 2-11, 71.0)    18- 1   
 401 H NorthWest Guilford     NC    Conf-08 (20- 1, 95.8)     4-15   
 411 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 80.6)    10- 3   
 422 A Northern Durham        NC    Conf-05 ( 2-11, 71.0)    11- 2   
 501 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7)     7-11   
 502 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-05 ( 7-10, 76.4)    17- 6   
 503 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-05 ( 7- 8, 83.6)    11- 4   
 509 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (16- 2, 94.9)     9- 8  o
 513 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-11, 84.9)    10- 6   
 516 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 4, 92.7)    10- 8   
 520 A Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (19- 3, 95.9)     2-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Chapel Hill             5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.55
   305 A Panther Creek          11- 7       4     3           0.87
   308 N Calvert Hall            1-22     -21    -1          n/a  
   311 A Cardinal Gibbons        6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   314 A East Chapel Hill       11-15      -4    -4           0.69
   321 A Carrboro               12- 5       7     7          -0.43
   327 H Durham Riverside        9- 5       4     5          -1.69
   328 A Roxboro Community Sch  17- 5      12    11           0.00
   331 H Northern Durham        18- 1      17    18           0.00
   401 H NorthWest Guilford      4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.47
   411 H Carrboro               10- 3       7     8          -1.68
   422 A Northern Durham        11- 2       9    16          -1.00
   501 A East Chapel Hill        7-11      -4    -4           0.69
   502 H Roxboro Community Sch  17- 6      11    12           0.00
   503 A Durham Riverside       11- 4       7     4    +      2.56
   509 A Middle Creek            9- 8  o    1    -6    +++    7.86
   513 H Panther Creek          10- 6       4     4          -0.38
   516 A East Chapel Hill       10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.69
   520 A Apex                    2-10      -8    -7          -0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 N Calvert Hall            1-22     -21    -1    ---        
   228 H Chapel Hill             5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.55
   401 H NorthWest Guilford      4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Middle Creek            9- 8  o    1    -6    +++    7.86
   516 A East Chapel Hill       10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.69
   503 A Durham Riverside       11- 4       7     4    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.62 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.77 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/